Week 10 Free Pick: New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans

betdsiArticles, Football, NFL

The New England Patriots (-6.5) are set to pay a visit to the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium. This crucial early afternoon matchup gets underway at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to CBS.

Betting Preview: Tennessee Titans vs. New England Patriots

Tennessee is playing the role of underdog and is currently getting 6.5 points in this Sunday AFC game. The Patriots are also receiving -260 moneyline odds while the Titans are +220. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 46.5 points. If the underdog gets ahead in the early stages, it will likely create a decent live betting opportunity.

Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Patriots have gained 3.0 units and the Titans are up 1.6 units.

The Patriots have gone 7-2 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Titans are 4-4 SU.

When these two franchises met a year ago, New England knocked off New England by three touchdowns 35-14.

The Pats are coming off a resounding 31-17 victory over Green Bay last week. Tom Brady completed 22 passes for 294 yards and one touchdown. James White (just 31 rushing yards on 12 attempts, but two TDs) and Cordarrelle Patterson (61 yards on 11 carries, one TD) led the ground attack while Julian Edelman (six receptions, 71 yards) and White (six catches, 72 yards) manned the receiving duties in the win.

Tennessee just got a 28-14 win over Dallas a week ago. The allowed the Cowboys to put up 243 passing yards and 72 rushing yards. Ezekiel Elliott was a bright spot in the defeat for Dallas, accounting for 61 rushing yards on 17 attempts, along with 51 yards on four catches. For Tennessee, Marcus Mariota completed 21-of-29 passes for 240 yards and two touchdowns. Dion Lewis (62 rushing yards on 19 attempts) and the signal-caller Mariota (32 yards on 10 carries, one TD) handled the running attack while Corey Davis (six receptions, 56 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

New England has run the ball on 43.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tennessee has a rush percentage of 50.2 percent. The Patriots have rushed for 116.1 yards per game and have 11 scores on the ground this year. The Titans are logging 110.0 rush yards per game and have five total rushing TDs.

The Pats offensive scheme has averaged 281.2 yards through the air overall and has 17 passing TDs so far. The Titans have put up 198.3 pass yards per game and have seven total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, New England has allowed 106.9 rush yards and 285.7 pass yards per game. The Tennessee D has given up 239.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 107.3 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Pats have given up an ANY/A of 6.16 to opposing QBs, while the Titans are allowing an ANY/A of 6.31.

Offensively, Brady is up to 2,170 passing yards this year. He’s completed 192-of-285 attempts with 17 scores through the air and seven interceptions. He’s got a 7.16 adjusted net yards per pass attempt.

Marcus Mariota has completed 96-of-147 passes for 1,033 yards, four TDs and four INTs for Tennessee. His ANY/A stands at a less-than-spectacular 4.82 for the season and 6.81 over his past two games.

New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans Free NFL Tip

SU Winner: Patriots, ATS Winner: Patriots, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • Tennessee has lost four fumbles this season while New England has lost six.
  • The Tennessee defense has sacked opposing QBs 20 times this season. New England has recorded just 13 sacks.
  • New England, as a team, has averaged 3.7 yards per rush attempt over its past three contests and 3.6 over its last two.
  • Tennessee has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.2 over its past two.
  • In its last three contests, Tennessee is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for New England’s previous game was set at 56. The under cashed in the team’s 31-17 victory over Green Bay.
  • In its last three contests, New England is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Tennessee’s previous outing was set at 40. The over cashed in the 28-14 win over Dallas.