Week 10 Free Betting Preview – Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles

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The Dallas Cowboys (+6) are heading northeast to face the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. NBC will broadcast the action and the Sunday Night Football game gets underway at 8:20 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles

In this Sunday NFC game, Philadelphia has been tabbed as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 6 points. The Cowboys are also receiving +180 moneyline odds while the Eagles are -220. If one team finds paydirt early it’ll generate a decent betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 43.5 points.

The game’s total has yet to move after it was initially placed at 43.5. Having said that, the line opened at -5 and sharp bettors are siding with the Eagles.

The Cowboys are 2-5-1 against the spread (ATS) and are down 2.6 units so far. They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 3-5.

The Eagles are down 2.6 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-5 ATS and also have an O/U record of 3-5.

The Cowboys have gone 3-5 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against NFC East opponents. The Eagles are 4-4 SU overall and 1-0 SU versus divisional foes.

The Cowboys look to get back in stride after a 28-14 defeat to Tennessee in Week 9 where Dak Prescott completed 21-of-31 passes for 243 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Ezekiel Elliott (61 yards on 17 rush attempts) mounted the running attack. Amari Cooper (five receptions, 58 yards, one TD) and Elliott (four catches, 51 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Philadelphia is coming off of a 24-18 win over Jacksonville two weeks ago. Carson Wentz completed 21-of-30 passes for 286 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Josh Adams (61 rushing yards on nine attempts) handled the running game as Jordan Matthews (four receptions, 93 yards) and Alshon Jeffery (four catches, 35 yards) led the receiving attack in the win.

Dallas has run the ball on 47.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Philadelphia has an overall rush percentage of 40.3 percent. The Cowboys have rushed for 128.8 yards/game (including 105.5 per game versus East opponents) and have five touchdowns on the ground this year. The Eagles are putting up 106.6 rushing yards per game (108.0 in conference) and have six total rush TDs.

It seems like the Cowboys ought to hold an edge in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has produced 4.8 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 3.6 to opponents. The Eagles have rushed for 4.1 yards per carry and given up 4.5 YPC to opponents.

The Cowboys offensive scheme has averaged 207.5 yards through the air overall (216.5 per game versus conference opposition) and has 10 passing TDs so far. The Eagles have produced 281.8 pass yards per game (278 against NFC competition) and have 14 total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, Dallas seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 99.9 rush yards and 235.1 pass yards per game. The Philadelphia D has allowed 287.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 83.8 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Cowboys have given up an ANY/A of 6.77 to opposing QBs, while the Eagles are yielding an ANY/A of 6.41.

Offensively, Prescott has amassed 1,387 passing yards on the year. The signal-caller has connected on 63 percent of his 202 attempts with nine scores through the air and five interceptions. He’s got a 5.36 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.53 over the last two games.

For the home team, Carson Wentz has managed to complete 129-of-188 passes for 1,478 yards, 11 TDs and two INTs. Wentz’s ANY/A stands at 7.26 for the year and 8.01 over his past two outings.

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles Free Betting Pick

SU Winner: Eagles, ATS Winner: Cowboys, O/U: Over

Betting Notes

  • Philadelphia has lost nine fumbles this season while Dallas has lost five.
  • The Dallas defense has 23 sacks on the year while Philadelphia has 22.
  • As a team, Dallas has produced 4.2 yards per carry over its past three contests and 3.5 over its last two.
  • Philadelphia has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.7 over its last two.
  • In its last three matchups, Philadelphia is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Dallas’ last game going into it was 40. The over cashed in the team’s 28-14 loss to Tennessee.
  • In its last three contests, Dallas is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Philadelphia’s last matchup was set at 44.5. The under cashed in the team’s 24-18 triumph over Jacksonville.
  • Dallas has lost four of its last five games SU, with a 33-point victory over Jacksonville on October 14th representing the only win over that span.