Week 10 Free Betting Pick – Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

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The Baltimore Ravens (-10) are heading west to face the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium. This Sunday game starts at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS is in line to have the TV rights.

Week 10 Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati is a big home underdog in this AFC game and is currently getting 10 points. The Ravens are also receiving -475 moneyline odds while the Bengals are +325. If one squad can get out in front early it’ll produce a worthy betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 47 points.

The game’s total has been driven higher after originally being set at 46. The opening spread of 10 has stayed consistent.

The Ravens are 3-4-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 2.8 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 5-3.

The Bengals have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 8.6 units. The team is 3-5 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-5-1.

The Ravens are 6-2 straight up (SU), including 2-1 SU against AFC North opponents. The Bengals are 0-8 SU overall and 0-2 SU against divisional foes.

The Ravens are trying to maintain momentum following a solid 37-20 victory over New England in Week 9. The passing game was on point as Lamar Jackson completed 17-of-23 passes for only 163 yards and one touchdown. Jackson (61 rushing yards on 16 attempts, two TDs) also led the running attack and was complemented by Mark Ingram II (115 yards on 15 carries). Nick Boyle (five receptions, 27 yards, one TD) and Marquise Brown (three catches, 48 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Cincinnati just fell 24-10 to the Rams. The defensive secondary allowed the Rams to air it out for 372 yards and two touchdowns. Cooper Kupp was on a different level for Los Angeles, putting up 220 yards on seven catches. For Cincinnati, Andy Dalton completed 32-of-52 passes for 329 yards and one touchdown. Joe Mixon (66 yards on 17 rush attempts) handled the running game while Alex Erickson (six receptions, 97 yards) and Tyler Eifert (six catches, 74 yards) led the receiving attack in the loss.

Baltimore has run the ball on 55.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Cincinnati has a rush percentage of 30.7 percent. The Ravens have produced 204.9 rush yards per game (including 193.3 per game against North opponents) and have 13 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bengals are averaging 59.5 rush yards per game (53 in conference) and have three total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Ravens could own the edge in all aspects of the ground game, since their running backs has produced 5.5 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 4.3 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Bengals have registered 3.2 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 5.1 to opponents.

The Ravens offensive scheme has averaged 233.5 yards in the air overall (214.7 per game versus conference opposition) and has 13 passing scores so far. The Bengals have put up 281.5 pass yards per game (203 in the AFC) and have nine total pass TDs.

Baltimore has allowed opponents to run for an average of 83 yards and pass for 277.4 yards per game. The Cincinnati D has given up 265.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 177.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Ravens are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.34 to opposing QBs, while the Bengals have allowed a staggering 8.78 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Jackson has put up 1,670 yards on the year. The signal-caller has completed 66 percent of his 218 attempts with 12 passing scores and five interceptions. Jackson has a 6.79 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.18 over the last two games.

Andy Dalton has connected on 182-of-295 passes for 1,976 yards, eight TDs and five INTs for Cincinnati. His ANY/A sits at 5.40 for the year and 4.51 over his last two games.

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals NFL Pick

SU Winner: Ravens, ATS Winner: Ravens, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • The Cincinnati offense has lost seven fumbles this season while Baltimore has let four get away.
  • The Baltimore D has 14 sacks on the year while Cincinnati has nine.
  • Baltimore has produced 5.7 yards per carry over its past three games and 5.4 over its last two.
  • Cincinnati has averaged 3.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.3 over its past two.
  • Over its last three matches, Cincinnati is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Baltimore’s last game was set at 44.5. The over cashed in the team’s 37-20 victory over New England.
  • In its last three contests, Baltimore is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Cincinnati’s previous match was 48. The under cashed in the 24-10 loss to the Rams.