Week 10 Free Betting Matchup – Atlanta Falcons vs. Cleveland Browns

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The Browns (+4) are set to welcome the Atlanta Falcons (-4) to FirstEnergy Stadium. Kickoff for this game is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to FOX.

Betting Preview: Cleveland Browns vs. Atlanta Falcons

In this Sunday matchup, Atlanta is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 4 points. The Falcons are also receiving -170 moneyline odds while the Browns are +150. If one side finds paydirt in the early stages it will result in a decent live betting scenario. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 51 points.

This game’s line opened at 3.5. The total has not changed since it was initially posted at 51.

The Falcons are 3-5 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 0.8 units so far. The team has recorded an Over-Under mark of 6-2.

The Browns have lost 3.8 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 5-4.

The Falcons are 4-4 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Browns are 2-6-1 SU.

Atlanta enters this contest on a zero-game losing streak while Cleveland has won each of its last zero. The Falcons are coming off a resounding 38-14 win over Washington in Week 9 where Matt Ryan completed 26 passes for 350 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Tevin Coleman (88 yards on 13 rushes) and Ito Smith (60 yards on 10 carries, one TD) led the running attack while Julio Jones (seven receptions, 121 yards, one TD) and Calvin Ridley (six catches, 71 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties in the win.

Cleveland just fell 37-21 to Kansas City in Week 9. Baker Mayfield completed 29-of-42 passes for 297 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Nick Chubb (85 rushing yards on 22 attempts, one TD) mounted the running game while Duke Johnson Jr. (nine receptions, 78 yards, two TDs) and Jarvis Landry (six catches, 50 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Atlanta has run the ball on 37.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Cleveland has a rush percentage of 41.4 percent. The Falcons have rushed for 92.1 yards per game and have eight scores on the ground this year. The Browns are logging 124.6 rushing yards per game and have 10 total rush TDs.

The Falcons offensive scheme has averaged a ridiculous 338.1 yards in the air overall and has 19 passing scores so far. The Browns have put up 249.0 pass yards per outing and have 12 total pass TDs.

Atlanta has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 108.5 yards and pass for 318.8 yards per game. The Cleveland D has allowed 299.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 138.9 yards per game on the ground. The Browns are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.87 to opponents, while the Falcons have given up a 7.27 ANY/A.

Offensively, Ryan has already amassed 2,306 passing yards this season. He’s completed 69 percent of his 262 attempts with 18 passing scores and only three interceptions. He’s got a pristine 8.58 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 9.12 over the last two games.

Baker Mayfield has completed 137-of-229 passes for 1,588 yards, eight TDs and six INTs for Cleveland. His ANY/A stands at 5.39 for the season and 5.22 over his past two outings.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Cleveland Browns Free NFL Pick

SU Winner: Falcons, ATS Winner: Browns, O/U: Under

Betting Trends

  • The Falcons offense has produced six pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Browns have accounted for three such plays.
  • The Atlanta defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Cleveland has given up seven such plays.
  • The Atlanta offense has created four rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Cleveland has created 10 such runs.
  • The Falcons defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Browns have given up eight such runs.
  • The Cleveland defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 22 times this season. Atlanta has recorded 17 sacks.
  • Atlanta has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.0 over its last two.
  • Cleveland has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.8 over its past two.
  • Cleveland has dropped six of its last seven games SU, with a three-point win over Baltimore on October 7th accounting for its only victory over that span.