Week 10 Free ATS Pick – Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers

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The Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers will go toe-to-toe on the grass at Levi’s Stadium. The pivotal Monday Night game gets going at 8:15 p.m. ET and you can tune in to the action on ESPN.

Thursday Night FootballBetting Preview: San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks

In what could be a NFC postseason preview, San Francisco has been tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 6 points. The Seahawks are also receiving +190 moneyline odds while the 49ers are -230. If one team can create a bunch of points early it would create a nice in-game betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 45 points.

Odds have moved a little from where they initially opened. The opening line was -7 and the game’s total was originally set at 44.5.

Both of these teams have rewarded gamblers this year as the Seahawks have gained 3.8 units and the 49ers are up 8.3 units.

The perfect Seahawks have gone 7-2 straight up (SU), including 2-0 SU against NFC West opponents. The 49ers are 8-0 SU overall and also 2-0 SU against divisional foes.

The Seahawks made it two in a row after a 40-34 win over Tampa Bay last week. Russell Wilson completed 29-of-43 passes for 378 yards and five touchdowns. Chris Carson (105 rushing yards on 16 attempts) led the running attack while Tyler Lockett (13 receptions, 152 yards, two TDs) and DK Metcalf (six catches, 123 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.

San Francisco is coming off of a 28-25 win over Arizona in Week 9. Jimmy Garoppolo completed 28-of-37 passes for 317 yards and four touchdowns. Matt Breida (78 yards on 15 rush attempts) and Tevin Coleman (23 yards on 12 carries) handled the running game while Emmanuel Sanders (seven receptions, 112 yards, one TD) and George Kittle (six catches, 79 yards, one TD) led the receiving attack in the win.

Seattle has run the ball on 48.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while San Francisco has a rush percentage of 57.2 percent. The Seahawks have produced 131.7 rush yards per game (including 141 per game versus West opponents) and have eight touchdowns on the ground this year. The Niners are totaling 171.1 rush yards per game (100 in conference) and have 13 total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Niners should have the advantage when it comes to quarterback protection. Their offensive line has yielded only 12 sacks while the D-line has logged 30 sacks. The Seahawks offensive line has allowed 22 sacks and their defense has got to opposing QBs just 15 times.

The Seahawks offensive scheme has averaged 278.3 yards in the air overall (254 per game versus conference opposition) and has 22 passing TDs so far. The Niners have produced 227.8 pass yards per outing (280 against NFC foes) and have 13 total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, Seattle has allowed 102.7 rush yards and 289.4 pass yards per game. The San Francisco D has given up 169.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 102.9 yards per game on the ground. The Niners are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.11 to opponents, while the Seahawks have given up a 6.67 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Wilson is up to 2,323 yards this season. The signal-caller has connected on 68 percent of his 273 attempts with 20 scores through the air and only one interception. He has a sparkling 8.72 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 9.68 over the last two games.

On the other sideline, Jimmy Garoppolo has completed 142-of-204 passes for 1,631 yards, 11 TDs and six INTs. Garoppolo’s ANY/A sits at 7.19 for the year and 8.59 over his last two outings.

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers Betting Pick

SU Winner: 49ers, ATS Winner: 49ers, O/U: Over

Betting Trends

  • The San Francisco offense has lost five fumbles this season while Seattle has lost eight.
  • The San Francisco defensive unit has recorded double the sack total of Seattle this year (30 to 15).
  • Seattle has produced 5.0 yards per carry over its past three games and 5.4 over its last two.
  • San Francisco has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.8 over its past two.
  • Over its last three matches, San Francisco is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Seattle’s last game was 50.5. The over cashed in the team’s 40-34 victory over Tampa Bay.
  • In its last three matchups, Seattle is 1-1-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for San Francisco’s last matchup was set at 43. The over cashed in the 28-25 triumph over Arizona.
  • Seattle has won six of its last seven games SU, with an October 20th defeat to Baltimore accounting for the only loss over that stretch.