Washington Wizards vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Prediction

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The Washington Wizards (1-5) will travel to FedExForum to square off with the Memphis Grizzlies (3-2). The Wizards opened as 2-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 219.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, October 30, 2018.

Washington Wizards vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds

The last time the Grizzlies played, they won big over the Phoenix Suns, 117-96, comfortably covering as 7.5-point favorites. The Wizards, on the other hand, were blown out by the Los Angeles Clippers, 136-104, and failed to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Memphis game finished 6 points over the projected point total of 207, while the Washington game went 11.5 points over the projected point total of 228.5.

Memphis dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a turnover percentage of 11.9 (worse than their season average of 10.9) and a free throw rate of 0.253 (above their season average of 0.245). Phoenix put up marks of 18.0 and 0.192, respectively, for those same stats. Washington, meanwhile, did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (23-28; 82.1 percent). Marc Gasol played well for Memphis, recording 19 points and eight rebounds. John Wall, meanwhile played a key role for Washington with 18 points and five assists.

This has potential to be an error-filled game for the offense of Memphis. Dating back to the 2017-18 season, Memphis ranks 27th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.7 percent), while the gambling defense of Washington has forced the fifth-most turnovers in the NBA (14.5 percent).

Wizards games tend to go over the total (83.3 percent). Washington holds records of 1-5 straight up (SU) and 1-5 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Washington, games including the Grizzlies have typically gone under the projected point total (60.0 percent). Further, Memphis is 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS.

The Wizards dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent matchup, Washington won 102-100. One of Washington’s biggest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They had 34 free throw attempts, while Memphis had 26.

Washington Wizards vs. Memphis Grizzlies Odds Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Over

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • The Grizzlies rank 21st in second chance points per game (11.6) while the Wizards rank 24th in second chance points allowed per game (13.4).
  • Washington ranks fifth in assists per game (24.8) while Memphis ranks 26th (21.6).
  • The Wizards rank 12th in fast break points per game (12.6) while the Grizzlies rank 26th in fast break points allowed per game (14.4).
  • Washington averages 7.9 steals per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Memphis ranks 21st in steals allowed per game (7.9).
  • Washington ranks 17th in blocks per game (4.5) while Memphis ranks 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
  • The Grizzlies rank fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (42.5) while the Wizards rank 19th (46.0).
  • The Wizards rank 21st in rebounds per game (42.9) while the Grizzlies rank last (40.5).
  • Washington ranks sixth in points off turnovers per game (17.3) while Memphis ranks 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.1).
  • Memphis is 15-13 when they allow less than 100 points, while Washington is 20-4.
  • The Grizzlies are 19-23 when they score over 100 points, while the Wizards are 43-27.