Washington Wizards vs. Cleveland Cavaliers ATS Prediction 01/29/19

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The Washington Wizards (21-28) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (10-41) square off at Quicken Loans Arena. The Cavaliers are 6.5-point underdogs and look to end a nine-game home losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 219 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Ohio at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 29, 2019.

Washington Wizards at Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Odds

In the Cavaliers’ last game, they edged the Chicago Bulls, 104-101, despite being 5-point underdogs. The Wizards, on the other hand, were defeated by the San Antonio Spurs, 132-119, and were unable to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The Cleveland game went 7 points under the projected point total of 212, while the Washington game finished 30.5 points over the projected point total of 220.5.

Cleveland played a nearly flawless contest. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.5 (below their season average of 23.7) and a turnover percentage of 7.5 (better than their season average of 11.8). For those same stats, Chicago put up marks of 16.7 and 9.5, respectively. Washington, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (8.1 vs. 13.6). Cleveland’s Jordan Clarkson played well, contributing 18 points, seven rebounds and six assists. Meanwhile, Washington was lifted by Tomas Satoransky, who had 21 points, nine rebounds and eight assists.

The Cavaliers evened the season series at one with a 116-101 victory in their most recent game. Tristan Thompson recorded a double-double with 23 points and 19 rebounds. The Cavaliers’ 32.4 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Wizards, who had a mark of 17.8. Cleveland covered as a 7.5-point underdog and the two teams combined for 217 points, which was just over the projected point total of 216.5.

Of the Wizards’ 49 games, 28 have finished over the projected point total. Washington comes into the game with records of 21-28 straight up (SU) and 21-27-1 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Cavaliers games, with 26 overs compared to 24 unders. Additionally, Cleveland is 10-41 SU and 22-28-1 ATS.

The Wizards’ Thomas Bryant has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 13 points,8.6 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, Ante Zizic has averaged 16 points,8.4 rebounds during that same time frame for the Cavaliers.

Conflicting paces will be on display in this battle. Washington has preferred a fast-paced style of play (sixth in possessions per game), while Cleveland has been more half-court-oriented (29th in possessions per game).

Washington Wizards at Cleveland Cavaliers Odds Pick

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Wizards rank 11th in fast break points per game (14.4) while the Cavaliers rank 25th (10.2).
  • Washington ranks fifth in points off turnovers per game (18.8) while Cleveland ranks last (13.6).
  • The Cavaliers rank ninth in rebounds allowed per game (43.9) while the Wizards rank 28th (47.9).
  • Washington ranks 11th in three pointers attempted per game (33.1) while Cleveland ranks 27th (26.2).
  • Washington ranks 11th in points in the paint per game (49.2) while Cleveland ranks 26th (43.5).
  • The Wizards rank second in steals per game (9.0) while the Cavaliers rank 25th (6.7).
  • The Cavaliers rank 10th in second chance points allowed per game (12.8) while the Wizards rank 26th (14.5).
  • Washington ranks 19th in blocks per game (4.8) while Cleveland ranks 29th (2.6).
  • Washington ranks ninth in assists per game (25.7) while Cleveland ranks 29th (20.2).
  • When holding opponents below 100 points, Cleveland is 4-3 and Washington is 7-0.
  • The Wizards are 20-23 when they score more than 100 points, while the Cavaliers are 8-20.
  • Cleveland is 9-15 ATS at home, while Washington is 7-19 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 14 of the Cavaliers’ 24 home games, while 13 of the Wizards’ 26 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Washington and Cleveland have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Wizards are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Cavaliers are 2-3.
  • The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.4, down from 3.0 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Cavaliers have scored an average of 98.2 points per game (4.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.4 points per game (2.9 below their season average).