Washington Wizards at Utah Jazz Betting Prediction 03/29/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Utah Jazz (45-30) will be 12-point favorites at home in Vivint Smart Home Arena when they go head-to-head with the Washington Wizards (31-45). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 225.5 points and action begins at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, March 29, 2019.

Washington Wizards vs. Utah Jazz Betting Odds

In the Wizards’ last contest, they edged the Phoenix Suns, 124-121, covering as 1-point favorites. The Jazz, on the other hand, topped the Los Angeles Lakers,115-100, but were not able to cover as 16-point favorites. The Washington game went 14.5 points over the projected point total of 230.5, while the Utah game finished 4.5 points under the projected point total of 219.5.

Washington dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a ridiculously low turnover percentage of 8.4 (better than their season average of 12.2) and a free throw rate of 0.322 (above their season average of 0.206). Phoenix put up marks of 13.2 and 0.241, respectively, for those same stats. The Jazz, meanwhile, had a great free throw rate of 0.277 (above their season average of 0.215) and held the Lakers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.8 (below their season average of 21.9). Utah’s Rudy Gobert had a good game, contributing 22 points and 11 rebounds. Meanwhile, Jabari Parker was a key piece for Washington with 28 points and 15 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Gobert led the Jazz to a 116-95 victory. He notched a double-double with 14 points and 14 rebounds. Utah covered as a 5.5-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 211 points, which was well under the projected point total of 227. The Jazz’s 19.4 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Wizards, who had a rate of 12.8.

Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Wizards are playing, as 46 of their 76 games have finished over the projected point total. Washington heads into the contest with records of 31-45 straight up (SU) and 34-40-2 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Washington, a little over half of Jazz games have finished under the projected point total. Additionally, Utah owns records of 45-30 SU and 40-33-2 ATS.

The Wizards’ Tomas Satoransky has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 12 points,8.4 assists,1.4 steals per game. Meanwhile, Joe Ingles has averaged 15 points,6.0 assists during that same time frame for the Jazz.

Looking at effective field goal percentage, Utah figures to have a significant edge. The sharp-shooting Jazz offense ranks seventh in the league in that metric at 0.534, while the Washington defense is ranked 29th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.545). Also, the Wizards, who rank 25th in offensive rebounding percentage (21.0 percent), will square off against the Jazz, who rank first in defensive rebounding percentage (80.5 percent).

Washington Wizards at Utah Jazz Odds Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Jazz rank second in fast break points allowed per game (11.2) while the Wizards rank 19th (14.0).
  • Utah ranks first in assists allowed per game (21.3) while Washington ranks 28th (26.3).
  • The Wizards average 8.4 steals per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Jazz rank 27th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
  • Utah ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.0) while Washington ranks 24th (14.2).
  • Utah ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (27.8) while Washington ranks 19th (32.9).
  • The Jazz rank second in rebounds allowed per game (42.7) while the Wizards rank 28th (47.2).
  • The Jazz rank third in blocks per game (5.8) while the Wizards rank 23rd (4.6).
  • Washington averages 18.0 points off turnovers per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. Utah ranks 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.0).
  • Utah ranks seventh in points allowed in the paint per game (46.9) while Washington ranks 29th (52.1).
  • Washington is 9-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Utah is 20-4.
  • The Wizards are 30-38 when they reach the century mark, while the Jazz are 43-18.
  • Washington is 12-26-1 ATS on the road, while Utah is 19-17-1 ATS at home.
  • The Wizards have 23 overs and 16 unders in 39 road games.
  • In 37 home games, the Jazz have 20 unders and 17 overs.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Washington and Utah have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Jazz are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Wizards are 2-3.
  • During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 121.0 points per game (10.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 101.6 points per game (4.3 below their season average).
  • The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.2, up from 2.8 for the season.