Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder Free Prediction 01/06/19

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (25-13) welcome the Washington Wizards (15-24) to Chesapeake Energy Arena. The Wizards are 10-point underdogs and can end an eight-game road losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 225 points and it will air on Fox SportsNet Oklahoma at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 6, 2019.

Washington Wizards vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Odds

In their last outing, the Thunder (1-point underdogs) covered in a 111-109 win over the Portland Trail Blazers. The Wizards fell to the Miami Heat, 115-109, but did cover as 6.5-point underdogs. The Oklahoma City game went 3.5 points under the projected point total of 223.5, while the Washington game finished 12.5 points over the projected point total of 211.5.

The Thunder knocked down 23 of their 26 free throws (88.5 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 8.7 (better than their season average of 12.2). Washington, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (8.6 vs. 13.6). Russell Westbrook played a pivotal role for Oklahoma City with 31 points, nine rebounds and seven assists. Washington was lifted by Bradley Beal, who finished with 33 points, nine rebounds and seven assists.

In their first matchup this year, Westbrook led the Thunder to a 134-111 victory. He notched a double-double with 23 points and 12 assists. Oklahoma City covered as a 4-point underdog and the two teams combined to score 245 points, which was over the projected point total of 233. Oklahoma City made good use of their 26 trips to the free throw line, making 21 of them (80.8 percent). Washington, on the other hand, was 14-18 (77.8 percent).

Games featuring the Wizards tend to go over the total (59.0 percent). Washington comes into the game with records of 15-24 straight up (SU) and 14-24-1 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Washington, games involving the Thunder tend to finish under the total (55.3 percent). Moreover, Oklahoma City owns records of 25-13 SU and 22-16 ATS.

The offensive glass should be a major edge for Oklahoma City in this showdown. The Thunder rank second in offensive rebounding percentage (26.9 percent), while Washington ranks 30th in defensive rebounding percentage (72.4 percent).

Wizards at Thunder Pick

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Thunder average 5.578947368421052 blocks per game, which ranks 6 in the NBA. The Wizards rank 14 in blocks allowed per game (4.871794871794871).
  • Oklahoma City ranks second in rebounds per game (48.8) while Washington ranks 29th in rebounds allowed per game (48.2).
  • The Wizards rank ninth in steals per game (8.7) while the Thunder rank 25th in steals allowed per game (8.4).
  • Oklahoma City ranks fifth in fast-break points per game (17.5) while Washington ranks 21st in fast-break points allowed per game (14.7).
  • Oklahoma City ranks 14 in assists allowed per game (23.894736842105264) while Washington ranks 25 (25.487179487179485).
  • The Thunder rank fourth in second chance points per game (15.0) while the Wizards rank 28th in second chance points allowed per game (14.9).
  • The Thunder average 53.578947368421055 points in the paint per game, which ranks 4 in the league. The Wizards rank 18 in points allowed in the paint per game (49.64102564102564).
  • Oklahoma City averages 29.973684210526315 three pointers per game, which ranks 20 in the NBA. Washington ranks 23 in three pointers allowed per game (32.8974358974359).
  • Oklahoma City averages 21.0 points off turnovers per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Washington ranks 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5).
  • When holding opponents below 100 points, Washington is 4-0 and Oklahoma City is 6-0.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Thunder are 23-8 and the Wizards are 15-19.
  • Oklahoma City is 10-7 ATS at home, while Washington is 5-16 ATS on the road.
  • In 21 road games, the Wizards have 11 overs and 10 unders.
  • Of the Thunder’s 17 home games, they have 10 overs, 6 unders and 1 push.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Thunder are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Wizards are 3-2.
  • In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 4 unders and 1 push, while Washington has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.6, up from 6.4 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 108.0 points per game (4.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.2 points per game (7.7 below their season average).