The Washington Wizards (8-12), 6.5-point underdogs, will travel to the Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans (10-11). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 242 points and it will air on Fox Sports – New Orleans at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 28, 2018.
Washington Wizards vs. New Orleans Pelicans Betting Odds
The Wizards were victorious over the Houston Rockets in their last game, 135-131, covering as 1.5-point favorites. The Pelicans, on the other hand, were defeated by the Boston Celtics, 124-107, and were not able to cover as 2-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Washington game went 42.5 points over the projected point total of 223.5, while the New Orleans game finished 2.5 points over the projected point total of 228.5.
Washington played a nearly perfect game. They had a great free throw rate of 0.273 (above their season average of 0.236) and a turnover percentage of 12.1 (worse than their season average of 12.0). Houston was 0.216 and 14.9, respectively, for those same stats. New Orleans, on the other hand, did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (27-29; 93.1 percent). New Orleans rallied around Anthony Davis, who recorded 27 points, 16 rebounds and five assists. John Wall played well for Washington, finishing with 36 points and 11 assists.
In their first matchup this year, Porter Jr. led the Wizards to a 124-114 win. He scored a game-high 29 points. The two teams combined to score 238 points, which was just over the projected point total of 237.5, and Washington covered as a 4-point favorite. Washington’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over New Orleans. The Wizards had a rate of 0.622 while the Pelicans posted a mark of 0.539.
Vegas tends to place the total low when the Wizards are involved, as 70.0 percent of their games have ended over the total. Washington heads into the game with records of 8-12 straight up (SU) and 7-12-1 against the spread (ATS).
Pelicans games also tend to finish over the projected point total (61.9 percent). Further, New Orleans is 10-11 SU and 9-12 ATS.
The Wizards’ Otto Porter Jr. has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 16 points,7.6 rebounds,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Julius Randle has averaged 21 points,11.8 rebounds,5.0 assists during that same time frame for the Pelicans.
New Orleans could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their high-octane offense faces off against one of the worst defenses in the league. The Pelicans rank fifth in offensive efficiency, while Washington ranks 29th in defensive efficiency. ,
Washington Wizards vs. New Orleans Pelicans Odds Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Wizards rank 11 in fast break points per game (14.65) while the Pelicans rank 24 in fast break points allowed per game (15.952380952380953).
- New Orleans averages 26.7 assists per game, which ranks third in the league. Washington ranks 29th in assists allowed per game (25.7).
- The Wizards rank first in blocks per game (6.6) while the Pelicans rank 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
- Washington averages 8.4 steals per game, which ranks seventh in the league. New Orleans ranks 25th in steals allowed per game (9.0).
- Washington ranks 5 in points off turnovers per game (19.3) while New Orleans ranks 18 (16.238095238095237).
- The Pelicans rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.9) while the Wizards rank 27th (41.4).
- The Wizards rank 11 in points allowed in the paint per game (47.3) while the Pelicans rank 26 (51.80952380952381).
- Washington ranks 11 in three pointers attempted per game (32.7) while New Orleans ranks 22 in three pointers allowed per game (32.76190476190476).
- New Orleans averages 17.2 second chance points per game, which ranks second in the league. Washington ranks 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (15.0).
- Washington and New Orleans are both 2-0 when they allow below 100 points.
- The Pelicans are 10-10 when they reach 100 points, while the Wizards are 8-11.
- Washington is 2-7 ATS on the road, while New Orleans is 5-5 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 6 of the Pelicans’ 10 home games, while 6 of the Wizards’ 9 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Wizards are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Pelicans are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Washington has 5 overs, while New Orleans has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 120.0 points per game (6.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 121.4 points per game (3.5 above their season average).
- The Pelicans have been outscored by an average of 3.8 points in their last five games. On the season, New Orleans has defeated opponents by an average of 0.6 points.
