The Washington Wizards (2-7) will travel to the Target Center to clash with the Minnesota Timberwolves (7-4). The Timberwolves opened as 7-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 238.5 points and action gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, November 15, 2019.
Washington Wizards at Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Odds
In their last contest, the Timberwolves (1.5-point favorites) covered in a 129-114 win over the San Antonio Spurs. The Wizards were defeated by the Boston Celtics, 140-133, but did cover as 7.5-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Minnesota game finished 13.5 points over the projected point total of 229.5, while the Washington game went 42.5 points over the projected point total of 230.5.
Minnesota dominated every stat category in the game. They had a great offensive rebounding percentage of 27.7 (above their season average of 24.1) and a free throw rate of 0.308 (above their season average of 0.208). For those same stats, San Antonio was 21.3 and 0.256, respectively. Washington, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 6.9 (better than their season average of 13.2). Karl-Anthony Towns fueled Minnesota with 28 points and 11 rebounds. Meanwhile, Washington rallied around Bradley Beal, who contributed 44 points, six assists and five rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Jeff Teague led the Timberwolves to a 131-109 win. He recorded a double-double with 15 points and 13 assists. The two teams combined to put up 240 points, which was over the projected point total of 228.5, and Minnesota covered as a 3-point underdog. Minnesota’s 0.633 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Washington, who had a rate of 0.453.
Of the Wizards’ nine games, five have finished under the total. Although Washington has trouble winning games straight up (2-7 SU), they have an outstanding record against the spread (6-3).
Unlike Washington, games including the Timberwolves tend to go over the total (72.7 percent). Additionally, Minnesota owns records of 7-4 SU and 6-4-1 ATS.
Minnesota appears to have an advantage on the offensive glass in this battle. The Timberwolves rank sixth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.6 percent), while Washington ranks 30th in defensive rebounding percentage (73.9 percent) since last season.
Wizards at Timberwolves Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2018-Present):
- The Wizards average 26.2 assists per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. The Timberwolves rank 17th in assists allowed per game (25.9).
- Minnesota ranks first in steals per game (8.5) while Washington ranks 25th (8.1).
- The Timberwolves rank third in three pointers attempted per game (30.0) while the Wizards rank 17th in three pointers allowed per game (32.8).
- Minnesota averages 49.8 points in the paint per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Washington ranks 18th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.9).
- Minnesota averages 45.1 rebounds per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Washington ranks 19th in rebounds allowed per game (47.2).
- The Timberwolves rank sixth in second chance points per game (15.0) while the Wizards rank 24th in second chance points allowed per game (14.3).
- The Wizards rank 15th in fast break points per game (14.0) while the Timberwolves rank 28th (11.5).
- Minnesota averages 17.5 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. Washington ranks 16th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.0).
- Minnesota ranks fourth in blocks per game (5.2) while Washington ranks 18th (4.6).
- Washington is 12-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Minnesota is 13-1.
- The Timberwolves are 42-41 when they reach the century mark, while the Wizards are 31-50.
