The league’s top shooting defense will be a 12-point favorite at home in Fiserv Forum, when the Milwaukee Bucks (39-13) clash with the Washington Wizards (22-31). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 230 points and it will air on ESPN at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 6, 2019.
Washington Wizards at Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds
The last time the Bucks took the floor, they easily covered the 7.5-point spread against the Brooklyn Nets, 113-94. The Wizards, on the other hand, were topped by the Atlanta Hawks, 137-129, and failed to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. The Milwaukee game finished 23 points under the projected point total of 230, while the Washington game went 36 points over the projected point total of 230.
Milwaukee dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an absurdly low turnover percentage of 7.4 (better than their season average of 12.1) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.475 (below their season average of 0.555). Brooklyn recorded marks of 10.2 and 0.348, respectively, for those same stats. Washington, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 6.8 (better than their season average of 11.9). Giannis Antetokounmpo had a solid performance for Milwaukee with 30 points, 15 rebounds and nine assists. Washington, meanwhile, was led by Jeff Green, who contributed 26 points, five rebounds and five assists.
The Bucks evened the season series at one with a 131-115 win in their most recent contest. Antetokounmpo recorded a double-double with 37 points and 10 rebounds. One of Milwaukee’s largest advantages was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 24-24 (100.0 percent), while the Wizards were 19-26 (73.1 percent). Milwaukee covered as a 6-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 246 points, which was well over the projected point total of 227.
Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the Wizards are involved, as 58.5 percent of their contests have gone over the total. Washington holds records of 22-31 straight up (SU) and 22-30-1 against the spread (ATS).
In opposition of Washington, a little over half of Bucks games have finished under the projected point total. Further, Milwaukee is 39-13 SU and 30-20-2 ATS.
Milwaukee could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their high-powered offense faces off against one of the NBA’s worst defenses. The Bucks rank fifth in offensive efficiency, while Washington ranks 26th in defensive efficiency. Moreover, second chance points figure to be rare for the Wizards. They rank 28th in the NBA in offensive rebounding percentage at 20.0 percent, while the Bucks are the best on the defensive glass (defensive rebounding percentage of 80.4 percent).
Wizards at Bucks Odds Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Bucks rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.3) while the Wizards rank 16th (17.0).
- Milwaukee averages 49.0 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the league. Washington ranks 28th in rebounds allowed per game (47.8).
- The Wizards average 33.2 three pointers per game, which ranks 11th in the league. The Bucks rank last in three pointers allowed per game (35.6).
- Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (9.4) while Washington ranks 20th (14.3).
- Milwaukee ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (40.9) while Washington ranks 19th (49.8).
- The Bucks average 26.3 assists per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. The Wizards rank 29th in assists allowed per game (25.8).
- The Bucks rank second in blocks per game (6.0) while the Wizards rank 20th (4.8).
- Milwaukee ranks second in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Washington ranks 15th (7.7).
- Milwaukee ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while Washington ranks 26th (14.4).
- Washington is 8-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Milwaukee is 13-1.
- The Wizards are 21-26 when they reach the century mark, while the Bucks are 39-10.
- Washington is 7-20 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 16-10 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 14 of the Wizards’ 27 road games, while 13 of the Bucks’ 26 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Bucks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Wizards are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Milwaukee has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Washington has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 115.2 points per game (2.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.8 points per game (2.4 below their season average).
- The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.4, up from 3.0 for the season.
