Washington Wizards at Miami Heat ATS Prediction 12/06/19

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The Washington Wizards (7-13) and their outstanding offense travel to Miami to play the Heat (15-6) and their tremendous defense. Action starts at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, December 6, 2019.

Washington Wizards at Miami Heat ATS Odds

The Wizards come in on a high note after defeating the Philadelphia 76ers in their last matchup, 119-113, as 1-point underdogs. The Heat, on the other hand, were blown out by the Boston Celtics, 112-93, and were not able to cover as 5.5-point underdogs. The Washington game finished 3 points over the projected point total of 229, while the Miami game finished 3.5 points under the projected point total of 208.5.

Washington played a nearly perfect game. They had a solid turnover percentage of 9.6 (better than their season average of 12.0) and a free throw rate of 0.289 (above their season average of 0.167). Philadelphia was 19.3 and 0.234, respectively, for those same stats. Miami, meanwhile, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.526 vs. 0.537). Jimmy Butler led the way for Miami, putting up 37 points and six rebounds. Washington, meanwhile, was led by Bradley Beal, who had 26 points and 10 rebounds.

The Heat captured this series last year, securing victories in three out of four games. In the most recent matchup, Miami won 113-108. Miami’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Washington. The Heat had a rate of 0.568 while the Wizards posted a mark of 0.474. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Wizards matchups have a tendency to finish over the O/U total (57.9 percent). Washington has a respectable record against the spread (11-8), despite being 7-13 straight up (SU).

A little over half of Heat games have finished over the total. Moreover, Miami owns records of 15-6 SU and 13-6-2 ATS.

The elite offense of Miami (second in the NBA with an effective field goal percentage 0.551) will battle against the porous defense of Washington (30th in effective field goal percentage allowed 0.566). The Heat should have the advantage on that end of the court. Moreover, the Wizards commit the fifth-fewest errors in the league (turnover percentage of 12.9 percent), while the disruptive defense of the Heat causes the fifth-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.4 percent).

Washington Wizards at Miami Heat ATS Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Wizards rank 18th in fast break points per game (12.7) while the Heat rank 26th (11.2).
  • Miami ranks sixth in points allowed in the paint per game (44.5) while Washington ranks 28th (52.5).
  • The Heat average 25.0 assists per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Wizards rank 29th in assists allowed per game (26.2).
  • Washington ranks 10th in steals allowed per game (7.2) while Miami ranks 28th (8.8).
  • Washington ranks 12th in three pointers allowed per game (32.9) while Miami ranks 27th (36.9).
  • The Wizards average 18.8 points off turnovers per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Heat rank 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.1).
  • The Heat rank second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while the Wizards rank 20th (5.8).
  • Miami ranks 21st in second chance points per game (12.3) while Washington ranks 24th in second chance points allowed per game (13.9).
  • Miami ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (41.0) while Washington ranks 21st (46.5).
  • When holding opponents under 100 points, Washington is 2-0 and Miami is 4-1.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Heat are 15-2 and the Wizards are 6-13.
  • Washington is 7-4 ATS on the road, while Miami is 7-0-1 ATS at home.
  • In 11 road games, the Wizards have 6 overs and 5 unders.
  • Of the Heat’s 8 home games, they have 5 overs and 3 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Heat are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Wizards are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Miami has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push, while Washington has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Heat’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.6, down from 5.3 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 121.4 points per game (2.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 129.4 points per game (7.0 above their season average).