Washington Redskins vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Free Week 10 Betting Prediction

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The Buccaneers (-3) are set to welcome the Washington Redskins to Raymond James Stadium. This early afternoon game will start at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to the action on FOX.

Week 10 Betting Preview: Washington Redskins vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Washington is projected to play the role of underdog and is currently getting 3 points in this NFC matchup. The Redskins are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Buccaneers are -140. Some good live betting opportunities might be unveiled during this showdown, and Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 51.5 points.

The game’s total has yet to move after it was initially set at 51.5. Having said that, the opening line was 0 and has recently moved down to -3.

The Redskins have gained 0.7 units so far and are 5-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U record of 3-5.

The Buccaneers have gained 0.4 units this season. The team is 3-5 ATS and seven of its games have gone over the total.

The Redskins have gone 5-3 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Buccaneers are 3-5 SU.

The Redskins hope to bounce back after a 38-14 defeat to Atlanta last week. Alex Smith completed 30 passes for 306 yards, along with one score and a pick. Adrian Peterson (just 17 yards on nine rush attempts) led the ground attack in the loss while Maurice Harris (10 receptions, 124 yards) and Vernon Davis (five catches, 62 yards) shared the receiving duties.

In Week 9, Carolina knocked off this Tampa Bay crew by a score of 42-28. The Bucs defensive unit let the Panthers kill the clock by rushing for 179 yards on 32 attempts, including four rush TDs. Christian McCaffrey was a force to be reckoned with, putting up 79 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 17 attempts, along with 78 yards on five catches for Carolina. For Tampa Bay, Ryan Fitzpatrick completed 24-of-40 passes for 243 yards, four touchdowns and two interceptions. Peyton Barber (31 yards on 11 rush attempts) led the ground game in the defeat as Adam Humphries (eight receptions, 82 yards, two TDs) and O.J. Howard (four catches, 53 yards, two TDs) led the pass-catching corps.

Washington has run the ball on 45.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tampa Bay has an overall rush percentage of 36.5 percent. The Redskins have produced 121.9 rush yards per game and have seven scores via handoffs this year. The Bucs are averaging 90.1 rush yards per game and have five total rushing TDs.

Judging by the results so far, it seems like the Redskins should own the edge in terms of RB effectiveness, as their running backs has generated 4.3 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 4.2 YPC to opponents. The Buccaneers have rushed for 3.8 yards per carry and allowed 4.4 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Redskins offensive scheme has logged 233.4 yards/contest in the air overall and has nine passing scores so far. The Bucs have put up a superb 371.8 pass yards per contest and have 23 total pass TDs.

Washington seems to have an edge in both areas of the defense. The team’s let opponents run for an average of 89.4 yards and pass for 271.8 yards per game. The Tampa Bay defense has given up 322.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 107.1 yards per game to opposing runners. The Redskins are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.27 to opposing QBs, while the Bucs have given up a whopping 9.23 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Smith is up to 1,689 yards on the year. He’s connected on 64 percent of his 242 attempts with eight passing scores and three interceptions. He has a 6.29 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.68 over the last two outings.

On the other sideline, Ryan Fitzpatrick has managed to complete 111-of-169 passes for 1,599 yards, 15 TDs and seven INTs. Fitzpatrick’s ANY/A stands at 8.51 for the season and 7.51 over his past two games.

Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Pick

SU Winner: Redskins, ATS Winner: Redskins, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • The Redskins offense has tallied three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Buccaneers have put up 10 such plays.
  • The Washington defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Tampa Bay has given up three such plays.
  • The Washington offense has created five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Tampa Bay has created three such runs.
  • The Redskins defense has allowed zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Buccaneers have given up nine such runs.
  • The Washington defense has 23 sacks on the year while Tampa Bay has 18.
  • Washington has rushed for 4.9 yards per attempt across its last three games and 5.4 over its last two.
  • Tampa Bay has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.3 over its last two.
  • Tampa Bay has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a three-point win over Cleveland on October 21st representing the lone victory over that stretch.