Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

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The Washington Nationals will make a road trip to Philadelphia to play their division foe Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. NBC Sports Philadelphia will be televising the matchup and the game will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Vegas is listing Philadelphia (-165) as the favorite over Washington (+155). If you think this game’s total will go under 9 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -115 odds. Picking the over will return -105 odds. The game’s runline odds stand at -140 for taking the Nationals +1.5 runs and +120 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.

The Nationals are 13-17 SU and are 12-17 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.3 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the year and 6.3 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 17-13 SU and 15-15 ATS. They’ve gained 0.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.8 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Phillies games have an over/under record of 15-15 so far in 2019. Washington has been a decent over bet with a total record of 17-11-1.

The right-handed Jeremy Hellickson is projected to start for the visiting Nationals. Hellickson is 2-0 with a 5.82 ERA and 13 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA against Philadelphia this year.

The Phillies will turn to righty Jerad Eickhoff (1-1, 2.12 ERA), who’s got 20 strikeouts and five walks, along with a WHIP of 1.00. Eickhoff hasn’t faced the Nationals yet this year and did not register a start against them in 2018.

Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.18 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.10 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 21 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.33 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.29.

The Philadelphia offense has produced 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .274/.374/.484 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and first baseman Rhys Hoskins have led the Phillies’ offense so far. Hernandez is slashing .283/.344/.407 with 32 hits, 10 RBIs and 16 runs scored, and the line for Hoskins stands at .278/.409/.602 with nine homers, 25 RBIs and 20 runs.

In the other dugout, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.30 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 10.15 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.87, along with a K/9 of 9.91.

Nationals hitters have slashed .249/.328/.425 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Outfielders Adam Eaton and Victor Robles have led Washington’s offense. Eaton is slashing .285/.348/.382 with 35 hits, nine RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Robles (.254/.298/.465) is up to 29 hits, five homers, 12 RBIs, 21 runs and seven stolen bases.

The Nationals have lost 6.5 units and are 10-12 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 13 of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 2.9 units and are 12-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, compared to 11 that went under the total.

Nationals vs. Phillies MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in just two of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
  • The Nationals have a team OPS of .753 this season and an OPS of .724 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .770 overall and .774 against righties.
  • The Phillies have won four of their last five games SU.
  • Philadelphia has recorded 18 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23 over its last five.
  • The Nationals have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 10 over their last 10.