The Washington Nationals are set to take the field against their divisional rival Miami Marlins in a Wednesday night game. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the action. The game is slated to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (receiving +155 odds) is entering into this one as an underdog against Washington and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -115 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and -105 for the Marlins +1.5.
The Marlins are 38-38 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 30-47 straight up (SU). The team’s gained 2.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 8.6 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Nationals are 38-40 SU and have gone 39-38 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 14.1 units for moneyline bettors and 1.6 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Miami games have had an over/under record of 34-39-3 so far in 2019. Washington has been a decent over bet with a total record of 39-33-5.
Left-hander Patrick Corbin will get the start for the visiting Nationals. Corbin (6-5, 3.90 ERA) has racked up 102 punchouts in 92.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins will put the ball in the hands of Zac Gallen (0-0, 1.80 ERA), who has six strikeouts and two walks this season as well as a 1.40 WHIP. Gallen has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not accrue any MLB pitching stats in 2018.
As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.79, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 5.02 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 35 divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.04.
Miami’s hitters have produced 3.5 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .256/.318/.432 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Marlins’ batters have been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and first baseman Miguel Rojas. Anderson is slashing .254/.339/.415 with 10 home runs, 34 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Rojas has produced a line of .279/.344/.341 with 72 hits, 21 RBIs and 25 runs scored.
For the visitors, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.78 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.79 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.26, along with a WHIP of 1.21.
The Nationals offense has slashed .254/.328/.434 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 5.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Washington’s hitters have been led by outfielders Juan Soto and Adam Eaton, who’ve collectively belted 18 home runs. Soto is slashing .306/.400/.532 with 12 home runs, 50 RBIs and 45 runs scored, while Eaton is slashing .271/.359/.384 with six homers, 19 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 0.1 units and are 11-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to seven that’ve hit the under against lefties.
Nationals at Marlins MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- Washington has logged 13 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Miami has 17 XBH over its last five.
- Miami has recorded 20.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.2 over its last five.
- The Nationals have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 10 over their last 10.
