Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles Matchup

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The Washington Nationals are set to face the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising this interleague matchup and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Baltimore (+105) is the home-team underdog to Washington (-115) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at +130 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and -150 for the Orioles +1.5.

The Nationals have gone 30-22 SU this year and are 26-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.3 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 1.9 units ATS. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 17-37 SU and 20-33 ATS. They’ve lost 18.2 units for moneyline bettors and 16.2 units ATS.

Orioles games have had an over/under record of 24-27-2 so far in 2018. The Nationals have an over/under record of 22-27-2.

Jeremy Hellickson will get the nod for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Hellickson is 1-0 with a 2.13 ERA and 31 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Orioles are putting the ball in the right hand of Dylan Bundy (3-6, 4.45 ERA), who has 77 strikeouts and 20 walks as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Bundy did not record a start against the Nationals in 2017.

As a unit, Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.4 runs per game overall this year. The teams starters have a 5.55 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.38 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

Baltimore’s offense is putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 2.4 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .232/.299/.327 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Orioles offense has been led by shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones. Machado is slashing .322/.392/.602 with 15 home runs, 44 RBIs and 29 runs scored, and Jones has produced a line of .278/.295/.463 with nine homers, 25 RBIs and 24 runs scored.

Machado enjoyed hitting against right-handed pitchers at home last season, slashing .286/.355/.534 in 265 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .260/.311/.473).

In the other dugout, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 3.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.86 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 9.90 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.26, along with a WHIP of 1.05.

Nationals hitters have slashed .241/.327/.414 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).

Washington’s hitters have been powered by shortstop Trea Turner and second baseman Howie Kendrick. Turner is slashing .269/.361/.418 with six home runs, 22 RBIs, 30 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Kendrick (.303/.331/.474) has produced four homers, 12 RBIs and 17 runs scored.

The Nationals have gained 6.5 units and are 18-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 14.4 units and are 13-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 15 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under.

Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in three of Washington’s last seven games.
  • The Nationals have won six of their last seven games SU.
  • Baltimore has posted 17.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.6 over its last five.
  • The Nationals have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.