Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles Free Preview

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The Washington Nationals are making a road trip to Baltimore to play the Orioles at Oriole Park. The game gets underway 1:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing this interleague matchup.

Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles Odds

Baltimore (+130) is coming into this one as the underdog to Washington (-140) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). The games current runline odds stand at +105 for taking the Nationals -1.5 runs and -125 for the Orioles +1.5.

The Nationals are 29-22 SU and have gone 25-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.3 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 0.9 units ATS. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 17-36 SU and 20-32 ATS. They’ve lost 17.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.1 units ATS.

Orioles games have an over/under record of 23-27-2 thus far in 2018. The Nationals have an over/under record of 22-26-2.

The southpaw Gio Gonzalez is the projected starter for the visiting Nationals. Gonzalez is 5-2 with a 2.38 ERA and 60 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and two strikeouts over six innings).

The Orioles are putting the ball in the right hand of Alex Cobb (1-6, 7.32 ERA, 1.93 WHIP), who has 22 strikeouts and nine walks. Cobb did not record a start against the Nationals in 2017.

Washington’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 2.93 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 10.05 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.30, along with a WHIP of 1.05 and a K/9 of 9.76.

Nationals hitters have slashed .240/.327/.414 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).

Washington’s offensive production been powered by shortstop Trea Turner and second baseman Howie Kendrick. Turner is slashing .270/.361/.422 with six home runs, 22 RBIs, 29 runs and 14 steals, while Kendrick (.303/.331/.474) is up to four homers, 12 RBIs and 17 runs scored.

For the home team, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starting pitching staff has a 5.60 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.29 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.

The Baltimore offense is putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .222/.285/.310 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have led the Orioles’ offense this year. Machado is hitting .324/.395/.609 with 15 home runs, 44 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while the line for Jones stands at .274/.291/.458 with nine homers, 25 RBIs and 24 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .260/.311/.473, Machado enjoyed batting against lefty pitching at home in 2017, slashing .300/.345/.588 over 87 such plate appearances.

The Nationals have gained 5.5 units and are 17-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 3.8 units and are 7-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in nine of those games, compared to eight which went under the total.

Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in four of Washington’s last seven games.
  • The Nationals have won five of their last six games SU.
  • Baltimore has posted 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.4 over its last five.
  • The Nationals have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit eight over their last 10.