The Washington Nationals will play their divisional rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Washington (+110) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-120). Bettors are able to gamble on the game’s total with odds sitting at -125 for over 9 runs and +105 for under 9. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Nationals +1.5 runs (-190) and Phillies -1.5 runs (+165).
The Phillies are 70-62 straight up (SU) and 64-67 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.8 units for moneyline bettors while earning 12.3 units (ATS). Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Nationals are 67-66 SU and have gone 63-69 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 25.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.2 units ATS. Washington is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 57-69-5 in 2018. The Nationals have also been a good under bet with a total record of 57-72-3.
The left-handed Gio Gonzalez will get the start for Washington. Gonzalez is 7-11 with a 4.35 ERA and 120 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).
The Phillies are sending righty Jake Arrieta (9-9, 3.37 ERA) to the mound. Arrieta has 106 punchouts and 45 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Arrieta is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 2.45 ERA over two starts against Washington this year.
Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.88 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.85 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.89, along with a K/9 of 8.63.
The Nationals offense has slashed .251/.330/.415 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Washington’s hitters have been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. The speedy Turner is hitting .267/.334/.404 with 15 home runs, 53 RBIs, 80 runs and 33 steals. Rendon has a .299 average with 17 homers, 64 RBIs and 62 runs scored.
For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.08 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 53 games against NL East foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.54 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.86.
The Philadelphia hitters have put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .286/.346/.491 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the Phillies’ batters this year. Herrera is hitting .268/.322/.448 with 21 home runs, 65 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Hernandez’s line sits at .257/.363/.361 with 11 homers, 41 RBIs, 81 runs and 16 steals.
The Nationals have lost 6.5 units and are 49-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 40 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 1.0 units and are 14-16 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in three of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
- The Phillies have dropped four of their last five games SU.
- The Washington defense has allowed zero errors over its last five games, compared to four errors for Philadelphia over its last five.
- The Nationals have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 14 over their last 10.
