Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

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The Washington Nationals will face their division rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be airing the matchup.

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Washington (-110) is entering this one as the favorite over Philadelphia (+100) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 6.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Nationals -1.5 runs (+135) and Phillies +1.5 runs (-155).

The Nationals are 66-66 SU and are 62-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 26.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.5 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 70-61 SU and 64-66 ATS. The team has gained 7.8 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 10.8 units ATS.

Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 57-68-5 in 2018. Washington has also been a good under bet with a total record of 57-71-3.

Right-hander Max Scherzer is projected to start for the visiting Nationals. Scherzer is 16-6 with a 2.13 ERA and 244 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 25 strikeouts and a 2.02 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).

The Phillies will turn to righty Aaron Nola (15-3, 2.13 ERA), who’s got 169 punchouts and 45 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 0.97. Nola is 3-0 with 22 strikeouts and a 1.25 ERA over three starts against Washington this year.

As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.81, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 4.06 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 52 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.60 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.81.

Philadelphia’s hitters have produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .271/.340/.453 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and outfielder Odubel Herrera have led the Phillies’ offense this year. Hernandez is slashing .259/.366/.364 with 11 home runs, 41 RBIs, 81 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Herrera’s line sits at .268/.323/.443 with 20 homers, 64 RBIs and 56 runs scored.

For the visitors, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.87 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.85 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.90, along with a K-per-9 of 8.60.

Nationals hitters have slashed .252/.330/.415 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led Washington’s hitters. The speedy Turner is hitting .269/.337/.407 with 15 home runs, 53 RBIs, 80 runs and 33 steals, while Rendon is hitting .294/.354/.494 with 16 homers, 62 RBIs and 60 runs scored.

The Nationals have lost 7.5 units and are 48-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 40 of those games, as opposed to 52 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 8.8 units and are 50-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 43 of those games, compared to 53 which went under the total.

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in just two of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
  • Philadelphia has posted 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.6 over its last five.
  • Each team has hit 12 home runs over its last 10 outings.