The Washington Nationals will be taking on their division rival New York Mets at Citi Field. The action will be nationally televised on Fox Sports One and the opening pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Odds
Washington (-115) is favored over New York (+105) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at +130 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and -150 for the Mets +1.5 runs.
The Mets are 57-71 straight up (SU) and 59-67 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 17.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.3 units (ATS). On the other hand, the Nationals have gone 64-65 SU this year and are 61-67 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 24.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.5 units ATS.
New York games have an over/under record of 56-64-6 in 2018. The Nationals have also been a good under bet with a total record of 56-69-3.
Tanner Roark will get the start for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Roark is 8-12 with a 4.05 ERA and 127 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 27 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against New York this year (four starts).
The Mets are going with righty Zack Wheeler (8-6, 3.63 ERA), who’s got 146 strikeouts and 47 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.21. Wheeler is 1-1 with nine strikeouts and a 4.61 ERA over two starts against Washington this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 3.92 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.64 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 54 games against divisional foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.78 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.48.
The New York hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .227/.273/.390 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ offense this year. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Rosario’s line sits at .242/.285/.361 with six homers, 40 RBIs, 56 runs and 15 stolen bases.
For the visiting squad, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.92 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.88 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.91, along with a K/9 of 8.57.
Nationals hitters have slashed .251/.329/.414 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon continue to lead Washington’s hitters. The speedy Turner is slashing .267/.334/.406 with 15 home runs, 52 RBIs, 78 runs and 32 stolen bases, while Rendon (.291/.352/.497) has produced 16 homers, 62 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
The Nationals have lost 6.5 units and are 48-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 40 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 9.3 units and are 45-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 43 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under.
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in four of New York’s last seven games.
- The Mets have won three of their last four games SU.
- New York has recorded 25.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.8 over its last five.
- Each team has hit 10 home runs over its last 10 outings.
