Adam Eaton and the struggling Washington Nationals will be taking on their division rival New York Mets at Citi Field in a Wednesday showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will broadcast the matchup.
Washington Nationals at New York Mets Odds
Vegas has offered identical -105 moneyline odds on both of these teams. If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to go under 6.5 runs, then Vegas is putting up even money odds (+100). Taking the over will give you -120 odds. There’s a runline of Nationals -1.5 (+140) and Mets +1.5 (-160) for this matchup.
The Nationals have gone 19-29 SU this year and are 19-28 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 15.8 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 11.7 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 22-25 SU and 23-23 ATS. The team’s lost 10.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.0 units ATS. New York has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Mets games have an over/under record of 23-20-3 so far in 2019. The Nationals have an over/under record of 23-21-3.
Max Scherzer will get the nod for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Scherzer is 2-5 with a 3.72 ERA and 87 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 19 strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against New York this year (two starts).
The Mets will put the ball in the right hand of Jacob deGrom (3-5, 3.98 ERA), who has 67 strikeouts and 14 walks this season as well as a 1.17 WHIP. deGrom is 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Washington this year.
Washington’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.01 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.25 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 6.61, along with a K-per-9 of 9.23.
Nationals hitters have slashed .243/.318/.407 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Right fielder Adam Eaton and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led Washington’s hitters. Eaton is slashing .268/.333/.363 with three home runs, 11 RBIs, 25 runs and five steals, while Rendon (.333/.428/.691) is up to nine homers, 27 RBIs and 33 runs scored.
For the home team, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 4.62 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.41 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 29 games against divisional foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.44.
The New York hitters have put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .203/.295/.392 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario. McNeil is slashing .333/.418/.461 with 55 hits, 15 RBIs and 20 runs scored, and Rosario’s line sits at .263/.308/.404 with four homers, 26 RBIs and 15 runs scored.
The Nationals have lost 10.8 units and are 15-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 9.8 units and are 16-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 19 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve cashed the under.
Nationals vs. Mets Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in three of Washington’s last seven games.
- The Nationals have dropped four of their last five games SU.
- Washington has posted 20.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 24.0 over its last five.
- The Nationals have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
- The Nationals have a total OPS of .724 this season and an OPS of .685 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .722 overall and .716 versus righties.
