Washington Nationals at New York Mets Free Pick

betdsiArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Mets are set to do battle against the Washington Nationals at Citi Field. The matchup will begin at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the game.

Washington Nationals at New York Mets Odds

New York (-110) is hosting this one as the favorite against Washington (+100) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -210 for the Nationals +1.5 runs and +175 for the Mets -1.5 runs.

The Nationals have gone 64-66 SU this year and are 61-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 26.1 units for moneyline bettors and 9.5 units ATS. Washington’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 58-71 SU and 60-67 ATS. The team has lost 15.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Mets games have an over/under record of 56-65-6 in 2018. Nationals games have gone under 70 times, gone over 56 times and pushed on three instances.

Jefry Rodriguez will get the nod for the Nationals. Rodriguez is 1-1 with a 5.46 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mets are sending lefty Steven Matz (5-10, 4.55 ERA) to the mound. Matz has 106 strikeouts and 43 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.33. Matz is 0-2 with 20 strikeouts and a 7.31 ERA across four starts against Washington this year.

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.89, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 4.62 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 55 games against NL East foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.44.

The New York offense has produced 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .248/.280/.465 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ hitters this year. Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Rosario is batting .244 with seven homers, 41 RBIs, 58 runs and 15 steals.

In the other dugout, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.91 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.90 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.94, along with a K-per-9 of 8.58.

Nationals hitters have slashed .250/.329/.413 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Washington’s hitters have been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon, who’ve collectively launched 31 home runs. The speedy Turner is slashing .268/.336/.406 with 15 home runs, 52 RBIs, 78 runs and 33 stolen bases, while Rendon is hitting .291/.351/.495 with 16 homers, 62 RBIs and 58 runs scored.

The Nationals have lost 19.6 units and are 13-23 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve hit the under against y starters.

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends,

  • Washington has logged 17 extra-base hits over its last five outings. New York has 16 XBH over its last five.
  • Both teams have launched nine home runs over their last 10 games.
  • New York has posted 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.2 over its last five.
  • The Mets have won four of their last five games SU.