The Cincinnati Reds are set to host the Washington Nationals at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Ohio will be televising this NL matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Washington (-125) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+115). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 8.5 runs and +100 for under 8.5. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +120 for taking the Nationals -1.5 runs and -140 for the Reds +1.5.
The Reds are 32-24 against the spread (ATS), but just 26-30 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 5.3 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Nationals are 24-32 SU and have gone 25-31 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 16.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.3 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 22-32-2 so far in 2019. The Nationals have been a decent over bet with a total record of 29-23-4.
Left-hander Patrick Corbin will get the nod for Washington. Corbin (5-2, 2.85 ERA) has recorded 81 punchouts in 72.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Reds this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts over six innings).
The Reds are turning to righty Tyler Mahle (1-5, 4.15 ERA), who has 59 strikeouts and 12 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.24. Mahle only made one start against the Nationals in 2018 (0-1, 32.40 ERA across one and 2-third innings).
Cincinnati’s pitchers have yielded 3.8 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.85 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.
The Cincinnati hitters have produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 6.3 per game over its last 10 games and 7.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .328/.391/.563 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias have paced the Reds’ batters this year. Suarez is slashing .279/.361/.552 with 14 home runs, 39 RBIs and 31 runs scored, and Iglesias is batting .306 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 21 runs.
For the visitors, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.67 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 10.03 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 7.23, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K-per-9 of 9.64.
Nationals hitters have slashed .251/.328/.419 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Washington’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Adam Eaton and Juan Soto. Eaton is slashing .271/.350/.385 with five home runs, 15 RBIs, 33 runs and five stolen bases, while Soto (.291/.394/.523) has produced nine homers, 37 RBIs and 30 runs scored.
The Nationals have lost 12.4 units and are 19-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 1.7 units and are 10-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.
Nationals at Reds MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Washington has tallied 19 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Cincinnati has 22 XBH over its last five.
- The Nationals have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 18 over their last 10.
- The Nationals have an OPS of .747 this season and an OPS of .704 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .717 overall and .703 against righties.
- Cincinnati has posted 27.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 30.0 over its last five.
- The Nationals have won five of their last six games SU.
