Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

Adam Eaton and the Washington Nationals will be taking on the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park in a Saturday showdown. Fox Sports Ohio will televise this NL matchup and the action gets going at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

Bookmakers have Washington (+115) as the underdog to Cincinnati (-125). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to finish below 9.5 runs, then bookmakers are currently offering even money odds (+100) to play the under. Taking the over give you -120 odds. There’s a runline of Nationals +1.5 (-180) and Reds -1.5 (+160) for this matchup.

The Nationals are 24-33 SU and have gone 25-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.3 units ATS. Washington’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 27-30 SU and 32-24 ATS. They’ve lost 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 5.3 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Reds games have had an over/under record of 22-32-2 so far in 2019. The Nationals have been a decent over bet with a total record of 29-23-4.

The right-handed Erick Fedde will get the nod for Washington. Fedde (1-0, 2.18 ERA) has racked up 12 punchouts in 20.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Reds are sending righty Tanner Roark (4-3, 3.20 ERA) to the hill. Roark has 59 strikeouts and 24 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.42. Roark did not register a start against the Nationals in 2018.

Washington’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.81 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 10.01 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 7.06, along with a WHIP of 1.24.

Nationals hitters have slashed .251/.327/.418 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Outfielders Adam Eaton and Juan Soto continue to lead Washington’s offense. Eaton is slashing .266/.344/.378 with five home runs, 15 RBIs, 33 runs and five stolen bases, while Soto has a .301 average with 10 homers, 38 RBIs and 32 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 3.8 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.77 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

Cincinnati’s hitters have produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 6.9 per game over its last 10 games and 7.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .320/.381/.552 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Reds’ offense has been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is slashing .277/.357/.544 with 14 home runs, 40 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while the line for Iglesias stands at .308/.340/.443 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 24 runs scored.

The Nationals have lost 12.4 units and are 19-23 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 0.9 units and are 22-20 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under.

Nationals at Reds MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Washington has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Cincinnati has 21 XBH over its last five.
  • The Reds have won three of their last four games SU.
  • The Washington defense has allowed nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to only two errors for Cincinnati over its last 10.
  • The Nationals have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 17 over their last 10.
  • The Nationals have a total OPS of .745 this season and an OPS of .702 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS sits at .722 overall and .705 versus righties.