The Washington Nationals will head south to play their divisional rival Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the action and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:20 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
For anyone who wants to play the moneyline, each team is currently receiving matching odds (-105) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total currently stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. The game’s current runline odds stand at +140 for taking the Nationals -1.5 runs and -160 for the Braves +1.5 runs.
The Nationals have gone 22-32 SU this year and are 23-30 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.8 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 30-24 SU and 27-27 ATS. The team’s gained 3.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.4 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Braves games have an over/under record of 26-24-4 so far in 2019. Washington has been a decent over bet with a total record of 28-22-3.
Stephen Strasburg will get the nod for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Strasburg (4-3, 3.25 ERA) has recorded 87 strikeouts in 72 innings so far. He has yet to face Atlanta this year, but he made three starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 1-2 record with a 4.19 ERA and 24 strikeouts.
The Braves are countering with Max Fried (7-2, 2.88 ERA). Fried has 51 strikeouts and 13 walks, along with a 1.12 WHIP. Fried only made one start against the Nationals in 2018 (0-0, 3.00 ERA and three strikeouts across three innings).
As a unit, Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 3.88 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.39 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 13 games against divisional foes, Braves starters have an ERA of 4.22 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.24.
The Atlanta hitters have put up 4.9 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .242/.311/.400 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies have led the Braves’ batters this year. Freeman is slashing .317/.406/.577 with 13 home runs, 32 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while the line for Albies stands at .267/.324/.421 with seven homers, 24 RBIs and 32 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.77 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.93 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 7.12, along with a K-per-9 of 9.32.
The Nationals offense has slashed .247/.322/.413 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Outfielder Adam Eaton and third baseman Anthony Rendon continue to lead Washington’s offense. Eaton is hitting .272/.339/.390 with five home runs, 14 RBIs, 30 runs and five stolen bases, while Rendon (.322/.419/.664) is up to 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 39 runs scored.
The Nationals have lost 5.7 units and are 5-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 1.5 units and are 22-19 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 17 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under.
Nationals vs. Braves Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in five of Washington’s last seven outings.
- The Nationals have a team OPS of .736 this season, including an OPS of .865 against left-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .775 overall and .815 against lefties.
- The Braves have won four of their last five games SU.
- Washington has posted 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 28.0 over its last five.
- The Nationals have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 19 over their last 10.
