Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview 11/7/19

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The Vegas Golden Knights, led by Mark Stone and William Karlsson, are prepared to take the ice against Auston Matthews, Mitchell Marner, and the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena for an East-West showdown. The opening face-off is at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 7, and it’s being shown live on AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mountain.

Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

Vegas (+110) is currently the underdog to Toronto (-130). The Over/Under (O/U), set at 7 goals, originally opened at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Those odds have shifted, however, and they now sit at -115 for the over, -105 for the under.

Vegas is 9-7 straight up (SU) and has lost 2.5 units for moneyline bettors this year. Through 16 regular season matches, nine of its games have gone over the total, while seven have gone under and none have pushed. As the away team this season, the Knights are 5-2 SU.

Vegas has converted on 23.6 percent of its power play chances this year, a figure that’s good enough for ninth-best in the NHL. Additionally, its penalty kill is ranked first overall, and the team’s successfully killed off a whopping 89.8 percent of all penalties..

Averaging 27.6 saves per game with a .924 save percentage, Marc-Andre Fleury (9-5-1) has been the primary option in goal for Vegas this season. If Vegas decides to rest him, however, they might turn to Malcolm Subban (0-2-1 record, .887 save percentage, 4.32 goals against average).

Over on the other bench, Toronto is 8-8 straight up (SU) and has lost 2.1 units for moneyline bettors thus far. Through 16 regular season contests, 10 of its games have gone over the total, while five have gone under and just one has pushed. The team is 5-5 SU at home this season.

The Maple Leafs have converted on just 17.3 percent of their power play opportunities this year, a mark that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 26th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 75.4 percent of all penalties.

Frederik Andersen has denied 27.8 shots per game as the top choice in the crease for the Maple Leafs. Andersen has eight wins, four losses, and two overtime losses and has recorded a poor .908 save percentage and 2.84 goals against average this year.

Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs Free Picks

Prediction: SU Winner – Golden Knights, O/U – Over

Betting Trends

  • The Maple Leafs are 2-5 SU in games where they serve more penalty minutes than their opponent while the Golden Knights are 6-3 SU when they serve more minutes than the opposition.
  • Toronto is 1-1 in games decided by a shootout this season while Vegas is 2-0 in shootouts.
  • For both of these teams, the total has gone over in three of their past five matches.
  • Vegas skaters have averaged 7.0 giveaways over its last five home games, an improvement from its season average of 9.8 giveaways per game (ranked 13th in the NHL).
  • Toronto skaters have averaged 13.8 giveaways over its last five home games, a rise over its season average of 12.2 giveaways per game (ranked 28th).
  • Vegas skaters have accounted for the league’s fifth-most hits per game (27.4), but that number’s down to just 22.4 hits over their last five away games.