The Rebels (-8) are set to welcome their SEC foe Vanderbilt Commodores to Ole Miss. SEC Network will broadcast the action and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:30 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
Vanderbilt is projected to play the role of underdog and is currently getting 8 points in this SEC game. The Commodores are also receiving +250 moneyline odds while the Rebels are -330. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 61.5 points. Some good live betting scenarios might present themselves during the showdown.
The early action has swayed in favor of both the Rebels and the over. The line initially opened at -7 while the O/U was originally set at only 58.
The Commodores have gained 0.0 units this season and are 0-4 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-2.
The Rebels are down 1.4 units in 2019. The team is 2-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-2.
The Commodores have gone 1-3 straight up (SU), including 0-2 SU against conference opponents. The Rebels are 2-3 SU overall and 1-1 SU in conference play.
The Commodores enter after a 24-18 victory over Northern Illinois last weekTheir defense allowed the Huskies to rush for 108 yards on 31 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Spencer Tears had a productive day for the Huskies in that one with 100 yards on three catches. On the offensive side of the ball, Riley Neal completed 21-of-28 passes for just 189 yards and one touchdown. Ke’Shawn Vaughn (138 rushing yards on 17 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack in the win. Kalija Lipscomb (seven receptions, 94 yards, one TD) and Cam Johnson (six catches, 64 yards) shared the receiving duties.
Ole Miss most recently fell 59-31 to Alabama. The defense allowed the Crimson Tide to pass for 418 yards and six touchdowns while rushing for 155 yards. Devonta Smith torched the defense, recording 274 yards and five touchdowns on 11 catches for Alabama. For Ole Miss, John Rhys Plumlee completed 10-of-28 passes for 141 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Plumlee (109 yards on 25 rush attempts, one TD) and Jerrion Ealy (68 yards on 11 carries) handled the ground game in the defeat while Jonathan Mingo (three receptions, 74 yards, one TD) and Elijah Moore (three catches, 40 yards) led all Ole Miss pass-catchers.
Vanderbilt has run the ball on 44.3 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 47.4 percent across possessions in conference play. Ole Miss has an overall rush percentage of 60.6 percent, and has kept it on the ground 67.3 percent of the time against SEC opponents. The Commodores have run for 129 yards per game (including 130.5 per game against Southeastern opponents) and have five touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Rebels are putting up 198.6 rushing yards per game (258 in conference) and have eight total rush TDs.
The Commodores offensive scheme has averaged 236.8 yards in the air overall (169 per game versus conference opposition) and has four passing TDs so far. The Rebels have produced 224.6 pass yards per game (222 against SEC competition) and have seven total pass scores.
Vanderbilt has allowed opponents to run for an average of 160.8 yards and throw for 340.8 yards per game. The Ole Miss defense has given up 314.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 106.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Rebels are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.52 to opponents, while the Commodores have given up a whopping 9.93 ANY/A.
Corral has completed 68-of-114 passes for 844 yards, four TDs and one INT. Corral’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.65 for the year and 5.77 over his last two games. In the other locker room, Neal is up to 652 passing yards this year. He’s completed 59-of-88 attempts with three passing touchdowns and one interception. Neal has a 6.48 ANY/A, including 5.48 over the last two games.
When these two squads met last year, Vanderbilt won by a touchdown 36-29.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Ole Miss Rebels Free Prediction
SU Winner: Ole Miss, ATS Winner: Ole Miss, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- The O/U for Vanderbilt’s previous game was 51.5. The under cashed in the team’s 24-18 win over Northern Illinois.
- As a team, Vanderbilt has rushed for 4.6 yards per attempt over its past three games and 5.5 over its last two.
- Ole Miss has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.8 over its past two.
- Ole Miss has lost four fumbles this season while Vanderbilt has lost one.
- Over its last three contests, Vanderbilt is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Ole Miss’ previous game was set at 64. The over cashed in the team’s 59-31 loss to Alabama.
- In its last three games, Ole Miss is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- Both teams have produced three pass plays of 40 or more yards and six pass plays of 30+ yards.
- The Vanderbilt defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Ole Miss has given up seven such plays.
- The Vanderbilt offense has created seven rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Ole Miss has created 14 such run.
- The Commodores defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Rebels have given up one such run.
- The Ole Miss D has notched 14 sacks on the year while Vanderbilt has just five.
