Vanderbilt Commodores at South Carolina Gamecocks: College Football Betting Free Pick

Posts AdminArticles, College Football, Football

The Vanderbilt Commodores and South Carolina Gamecocks are ready to go at it on the grass at Williams-Brice Stadium. The opening kickoff for this SEC showdown is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET and fans can witness the action live on SEC Network.

Betting Preview: South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Vanderbilt Commodores

Vanderbilt is a big road underdog in this SEC game and is currently being given 15 points. The Commodores are also receiving +510 moneyline odds while the Gamecocks are -750. If one team finds paydirt in the early stages it’ll result in a nice betting opportunity in-game. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 51 points.

The line opened at -14. The game’s O/U has yet to change after being set initially at 51.

The disappointing Commodores are down 11.0 units so far in 2019 and 1-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 2-5.

The Gamecocks have lost 7.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-4 ATS and have an even O/U record of 4-4.

The Commodores have gone 2-5 straight up (SU), including 1-3 SU against conference opponents. The Gamecocks are 3-5 SU overall and 2-4 SU in conference play.

When these two schools faced each other a year ago, South Carolina knocked off Vanderbilt easily 37-14.

The Commodores are coming off a 21-14 win over Missouri on October 19. The Commodores defense allowed the Tigers to run for 153 yards on 40 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. On the offense, the Commodores completed 10-of-19 passes for 165 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Mo Hasan went seven-for-11 for 120 yards and one touchdown while Riley Neal completed three-of-eight for 45 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Ke’Shawn Vaughn (96 rushing yards on 29 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack. Vaughn (four receptions, 80 yards, one TD) and Jared Pinkney (two catches, 14 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

South Carolina just dropped a brutal 41-21 game to Tennessee. Ryan Hilinski completed 28-of-51 passes for 319 yards and one touchdown. Tavien Feaster (80 yards on 19 rush attempts, one TD) handled the running game while Shi Smith (11 receptions, 156 yards, one TD) and Bryan Edwards (eight catches, 83 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Vanderbilt’s run the ball on 45.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while South Carolina has an overall rush percentage of 47.7 percent. The Commodores have run for 127.7 yards per game (including 118.3 per game versus Southeastern opponents) and have seven scores on the ground this year. The Gamecocks are totaling 182 rushing yards per game (139.2 in conference) and have 17 total rush TDs.

If the results so far this season are any indication, then it’s looking like the Gamecocks could have an advantage when it comes to RB efficiency. Their running backs has logged 5.3 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 3.9 YPC to opponents. The Commodores have ran for 4.3 yards per carry while allowing 5.4 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Commodores offense has logged 207.7 yards/game in the air overall (176.3 per game against conference opposition) and has six passing TDs so far. The Gamecocks have recorded 223.4 pass yards per outing (227 in the SEC) and have nine total pass scores.

Defensively, Vanderbilt has allowed 202.1 rush yards and 253.4 pass yards per game. The South Carolina D has allowed 263.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 144.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Gamecocks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.32 to opponents, while the Commodores have given up an ugly 8.71 ANY/A.

Offensively, Neal has put up 1,043 passing yards on the year, and has completed 61 percent of his 157 attempts with five scores through the air and three interceptions. Neal’s got a 5.46 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 2.26 over the last two outings.

On the other sideline, Ryan Hilinski has completed 131-of-215 passes for 1,347 yards, seven TDs and three INTs. Hilinski’s ANY/A stands at 5.67 for the year and 5.26 over his past two outings.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. South Carolina Gamecocks Free Pick

SU Winner: South Carolina, ATS Winner: South Carolina, O/U: Under

Betting Notes

  • The South Carolina offense has lost six fumbles this season while Vanderbilt has lost two.
  • The South Carolina D has sacked opposing QBs 17 times this season. Vanderbilt has recorded just 11 sacks.
  • Vanderbilt, as a team, has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its past three outings and 4.9 over its last two.
  • South Carolina has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.0 over its last two.
  • Over its last three contests, South Carolina is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Vanderbilt’s last game going into it was 56.5. The under cashed in the team’s 21-14 win over Missouri.
  • Over its last three matchups, Vanderbilt is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
  • The Over/Under for South Carolina’s last outing going into it was 46. The over cashed in the team’s 41-21 defeat to Tennessee.