Vanderbilt Commodores at Kentucky Wildcats ATS Prediction 01/29/20

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The Vanderbilt Commodores (8-11, 0-6 SEC) head to Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center to take on the 13th-ranked Kentucky Wildcats (15-4, 5-1 SEC). The Commodores are 20-point underdogs and look to put an end to their seven-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 142.5 points and it will air on SEC Network at 6:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 29, 2020.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Kentucky Wildcats Betting Odds

In their last matchup, the Wildcats edged the 18th-ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders, 76-74, while the Commodores lost big to the South Carolina Gamecocks, 90-64.

Kentucky dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an extraordinary free throw rate of 0.382 (above their season average of 0.324) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 31.3 (below their season average of 31.5). For those same stats, Texas Tech put up marks of 0.266 and 26.3, respectively. Vanderbilt, meanwhile, had a free throw rate of 0.368 (above their season average of 0.276). Nick Richards fueled Kentucky with 25 points and 14 rebounds. Vanderbilt, meanwhile, received a boost from Saben Lee, who finished with 17 points.

The Wildcats dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the last game, Kentucky won 87-52. The Wildcats’ 9.8 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Commodores, who had a rate of 27.1. This is the first time these teams will meet this year.

The physical Kentucky offense looks poised to dominate from the charity stripe. The Wildcats currently rank second in the NCAA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.327, while Vanderbilt ranks 277th in FTA rate allowed (0.257).

Vanderbilt Commodores at Kentucky Wildcats ATS Pick

College Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Kentucky, ATS Winner – Kentucky, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Vanderbilt ranks 57th in three pointers attempted per game (25.4) while Kentucky ranks 283rd (15.1).
  • The Wildcats rank 21st in blocks per game (5.2) while the Commodores rank 70th in blocks allowed per game (3.0).
  • Kentucky ranks 23rd in steals allowed per game (5.1) while Vanderbilt ranks 62nd (5.8).
  • The Wildcats rank 63rd in rebounds per game (38.5) while the Commodores rank 238th (33.2).
  • Kentucky ranks 64th in assists per game (14.6) while Vanderbilt ranks 151st in assists allowed per game (13.1).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Wildcats have scored an average of 78.4 points per game (2.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 73.4 points per game (8.2 above their season average).
  • The Commodores’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 20.2, up from 1.0 for the season.