Valparaiso Crusaders vs. Evansville Aces Betting Prediction 01/04/20

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The Valparaiso Crusaders (7-7, 0-1 MVC) will be at the Ford Center to clash against the Evansville Aces (9-5, 0-1 MVC) in a MVC matchup. Action begins at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 4, 2020.

Valparaiso Crusaders at Evansville Aces Betting Odds

Both teams were beaten in their last game. The Aces were beaten by the Missouri State Bears, 65-52, while the Crusaders lost a tough one against the Loyola Chicago Ramblers, 66-63.

Valparaiso held Loyola Chicago to an effective field goal percentage of 0.470 (below their season average of 0.570) while Evansville had a turnover percentage of 11.0 (better than their season average of 16.6). DeAndre Williams had a good game for Evansville, recording 12 points and 10 rebounds. Nick Robinson fueled Valparaiso with 15 points and seven assists.

The Aces dominated this series last year, securing victories in both contests. In the last contest, Evansville won 65-63. The Aces’ 27.5 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Crusaders, who had a rate of 18.5. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

The physical Evansville offense might be living from the charity stripe in this contest. The Aces rank 27th in the nation with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.286, while Valparaiso ranks 196th in FTA rate allowed (0.220).

Valparaiso at Evansville ATS Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Evansville, ATS Winner – Evansville, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Valparaiso ranks 35th in steals per game (8.6) while Evansville ranks 192nd (4.7).
  • The Aces rank 20th in blocks allowed per game (2.3) while the Crusaders rank 64th (3.0).
  • Evansville is 32nd in the country with 18.1 three pointers allowed per game while Valparaiso is 37th with 18.4 three pointers allowed per game.
  • The Crusaders rank 15th in assists per game (17.0) while the Aces rank 123rd (13.3).
  • Valparaiso ranks 171st in rebounds per game (35.0) while Evansville ranks 226th (33.4).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Aces’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.6, up from 0.1 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Crusaders have scored an average of 70.4 points per game (5.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.4 points per game (6.5 below their season average).