Utah Jazz vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Prediction 03/08/19

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It will be a contest between two stifling defenses when the Memphis Grizzlies (26-40), 5.5-point underdogs, go head-to-head against the Utah Jazz (37-27) at FedExForum. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 213.5 points and action gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, March 8, 2019.

Utah Jazz vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last game. The Grizzlies (5.5-point underdogs) defeated the Portland Trail Blazers 120-111, while the Jazz (4.5-point favorite) beat the New Orleans Pelicans 114-104. The Memphis game finished 15.5 points over the projected point total of 215.5, while the Utah game went 12 points under the projected point total of 230.

Utah played a nearly flawless game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.9 (below their season average of 22.7) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.568 (above their season average of 0.530). New Orleans was 16.3 and 0.511, respectively, for those same stats. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, knocked down 27 of their 36 free throws (75.0 percent), while the Trail Blazers had a turnover percentage of 18.5 (above their season average of 11.8). Memphis received a boost from Mike Conley, who finished with 40 points. Meanwhile, Rudy Gobert was a key piece for Utah with 22 points and 13 rebounds.

The Grizzlies lead the season series two games to one. In their most recent game, the two teams combined for 184 points, well under the projected point total of 202. Memphis lost 96-88, covering as a 4-point underdog. Utah won the rebounding battle. The Jazz had more offensive rebounds (13 vs. eight), defensive rebounds (36 vs. 34) and total rebounds (49 vs. 42). Gobert put up a double-double in the victory with 15 points and 16 rebounds.

Games involving the Jazz have no tendency in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Utah heads into the contest with records of 37-27 straight up (SU) and 33-29-2 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Grizzlies’ 66 games, 40 have finished under the O/U total. Additionally, Memphis is 26-40 SU and 30-35-1 ATS.

Both teams have had a couple of players take their game to the next level over their last five games. Derrick Favors (15 points,11.0 rebounds,2.0 blocks) and Joe Ingles (13 points,8.2 assists) have been fantastic for the Jazz, while Jonas Valanciunas (19 points,10.8 rebounds,1.6 blocks) and Avery Bradley (17 points,4.8 assists) have made great contributions to the Grizzlies.

Memphis might struggle to score as they clash against one of the league’s best defenses. Utah ranks second in defensive efficiency while the Grizzlies rank 29th in offensive efficiency. Ball security could be troublesome for the Jazz. They rank 28th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 14.6 percent), while the Grizzlies force the second-most turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.3 percent).

Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies Betting Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Grizzlies rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.8) while the Jazz rank ninth (47.3).
  • Utah ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (11.2) while Memphis ranks 27th (15.9).
  • The Jazz rank ninth in three pointers attempted per game (33.7) while the Grizzlies rank 26th (27.6).
  • Utah ranks 13th in second chance points per game (13.5) while Memphis ranks 29th (10.4).
  • Memphis ranks fourth in blocks per game (5.7) while Utah ranks 12th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
  • The Grizzlies average 8.5 steals per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Jazz rank 27th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
  • The Grizzlies rank eighth in points off turnovers per game (17.8) while the Jazz rank 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5).
  • Utah allows the fewest assists per game (21.3) while Memphis ranks third (22.9).
  • Utah ranks 10th in rebounds per game (45.9) while Memphis ranks 29th (40.9).
  • When allowing under 100 points, Utah is 15-3 and Memphis is 14-7.
  • When reaching the century mark, the Grizzlies are 17-16 and the Jazz are 35-16.
  • Utah is 17-14-1 ATS on the road, while Memphis is 17-16 ATS at home.
  • The Jazz have 16 overs and 16 unders in 32 road games.
  • The Grizzlies have 18 unders, 14 overs and 1 push in 33 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Utah and Memphis have both had 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Jazz are 2-3.
  • The Grizzlies have outscored opponents by an average of 7.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Memphis has been defeated by an average of 2.4 points.
  • During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 112.6 points per game (2.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.8 points per game (1.0 above their season average).