Utah Jazz at Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Prediction

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The Minnesota Timberwolves (44-33) and their sensational offense host the Utah Jazz (43-33) and their stifling defense. Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 1, 2018.

Utah Jazz at Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Odds

Both teams were victorious in their last game. The Timberwolves barely escaped the Dallas Mavericks 93-92, while the Jazz beat the Memphis Grizzlies 107-97.

Utah played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.203 (below their season average of 0.203) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.622 (above their season average of 0.522). For those same stats, Memphis had marks of 0.123 and 0.537, respectively. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, made 15 of their 17 free throws (88.2 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 9.0 (better than their season average of 11.0). Minnesota received a boost from Karl-Anthony Towns, who put up 21 points and 20 rebounds. Joe Ingles was a key piece for Utah with 17 points, 10 assists and five rebounds.

This matchup pits one of the NBA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Minnesota currently ranks fourth in offensive efficiency and Utah ranks second in defensive efficiency. ,

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Jazz games, with 40 unders compared to 35 overs. Utah heads into the contest with records of 43-33 straight up (SU) and 39-37 against the spread (ATS).

Timberwolves games have typically gone over the O/U total (55.8 percent). Moreover, Minnesota owns records of 44-33 SU and 34-40-3 ATS.

The Jazz’s Donovan Mitchell has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 25.6 points, 4.6 assists and 2.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Towns has averaged 28.0 points, 12.0 rebounds, 3.4 assists and 1.8 blocks during that same time frame for the Timberwolves.

The Timberwolves lead the season series two games to one. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to put up 224 points, well over the projected point total of 209. Minnesota lost 116-108, covering as an 8-point underdog. Utah won the rebounding battle. The Jazz had 11 offensive rebounds and 45 total rebounds, while the Timberwolves had two and 27, respectively. Rudy Gobert recorded a double-double with 26 points and 16 rebounds.

Utah Jazz vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Free Pick

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Timberwolves are second in the NBA with 41.6 rebounds allowed per game while the Jazz are third with 41.8 rebounds allowed per game.
  • Minnesota ranks first in steals allowed per game (6.5) while Utah ranks 23rd (8.3).
  • The Jazz rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (41.6) while the Timberwolves rank 19th (45.7).
  • Utah ranks 13th in three pointers attempted per game (29.5) while Minnesota ranks last (22.4).
  • Minnesota ranks sixth in points off turnovers per game (17.5) while Utah ranks 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.5).
  • The Jazz rank first in assists allowed per game (20.0) while the Timberwolves rank 22nd (24.1).
  • The Jazz rank second in second chance points allowed per game (10.8) while the Timberwolves rank 19th (12.9).
  • Utah ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (9.8) while Minnesota ranks 22nd (13.1).
  • In games where they allow below 100 points, Utah is 30-7 and Minnesota is 17-4.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Jazz are 34-12 and the Timberwolves are 41-22.
  • Minnesota is 19-18-1 ATS at home, while Utah is 19-19 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 22 of the Timberwolves 38 home games, while 21 of the Jazz’s 38 road games have gone over.

Betting Trends:

  • In their last five games, Utah and Minnesota are both 1-4 ATS.
  • The Jazz have 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games, while the Timberwolves have 3 unders and 2 overs,
  • During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 110.0 points per game (6.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.2 points per game (4.1 above their season average).
  • The Timberwolves have been outscored by an average of 0.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Minnesota has defeated opponents by an average of 2.2 points.