Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies Betting Prediction 11/29/19

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The Memphis Grizzlies (5-12) and the Utah Jazz (11-7) battle at FedExForum. The Grizzlies are 7.5-point underdogs and look to put an end to their five-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 219 points and action starts at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, November 29, 2019.

Utah Jazz vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds

Both teams fell in their last game. The Jazz (1-point underdogs) were defeated by the Indiana Pacers, 121-102, while the Grizzlies (6-point underdogs) fell to the Los Angeles Clippers, 121-119. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Utah game went 15.5 points over the projected point total of 207.5, while the Memphis game finished 13 points over the projected point total of 227.

Utah did a terrific job of getting and making free throws (20-25; 80.0 percent) while Memphis did a great job of getting and making free throws (22-26; 84.6 percent). Jonas Valanciunas had a good game for Memphis, finishing with 30 points and 16 rebounds. Meanwhile, Rudy Gobert was a key piece for Utah with 14 points and 13 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Morant led the Grizzlies to a 107-106 victory. He put up 25 points and eight assists. Memphis covered as an 8-point underdog and the two teams combined to score 213 points, which was just under the projected point total of 215. The Grizzlies’ 9.8 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Jazz, who had a mark of 12.2.

Vegas is known to place the total high when the Jazz are involved, as 11 of their 18 contests have finished under the total. Utah is 11-7 straight up (SU), but they struggle covering the spread (7-11 against the spread (ATS)).

Games including the Grizzlies also have gone under the O/U total 52.9 percent of the time. Additionally, Memphis owns records of 5-12 SU and 7-10 ATS.

The Jazz’s Bojan Bogdanovic has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 23 points,3.2 assists per game. Meanwhile, Ja Morant has averaged 21 points,7.2 assists,1.6 steals during that same time frame for the Grizzlies.

Second-chance points might be hard to come by for Memphis in this battle. The Grizzlies rank 21st in offensive rebounding percentage (22.2 percent), while Utah ranks fourth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.8 percent). Also, the Jazz are among the NBA’s best at getting to the line, ranking third in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.238). The Grizzlies, meanhwile, rank 22nd at keeping opponents off the charity stripe with an opponents’ FTA rate of 0.218.

Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Jazz rank 19th in three pointers attempted per game (31.2) while the Grizzlies rank 24th in three pointers allowed per game (35.5).
  • Memphis ranks first in points in the paint per game (54.5) while Utah ranks 26th (43.7).
  • The Grizzlies rank 11th in steals per game (7.9) while the Jazz rank 26th (6.1).
  • Memphis ranks 12th in second chance points per game (13.6) while Utah ranks 27th (9.2).
  • Utah ranks 17th in blocks allowed per game (5.1) while Memphis ranks 25th (6.5).
  • The Grizzlies rank third in assists per game (27.1) while the Jazz rank 27th (21.1).
  • The Jazz rank 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.1) while the Grizzlies rank 28th (21.7).
  • Memphis ranks third in fast break points per game (16.7) while Utah ranks 26th (10.8).
  • In games where they allow under 100 points, Utah is 5-1.
  • When scoring above 100 points, the Grizzlies are 5-9 and the Jazz are 10-5.
  • Memphis is 5-6 ATS at home, while Utah is 3-6 ATS on the road.
  • The Jazz have 6 unders and 3 overs in 9 road games.
  • Of the Grizzlies’ 11 home games, they have 6 unders and 5 overs.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Jazz are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Grizzlies are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Utah has 4 overs and 1 under, while Memphis has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 112.8 points per game (6.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.4 points per game (8.9 above their season average).
  • The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.2, up from 8.6 for the season.