Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors Betting Prediction 01/22/20

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The Utah Jazz (30-13) will travel to the Chase Center to square off against the Golden State Warriors (10-35). Action gets underway at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 22, 2020.

Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors ATS Odds

In their last game, the Jazz (8-point favorites) covered in a 118-88 victory over the Indiana Pacers. The Warriors fell to the Portland Trail Blazers, 129-124, but did cover as 7.5-point underdogs. The Utah game finished 10 points under the projected point total of 216, while the Golden State game finished 31 points over the projected point total of 222.

Utah dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.138 (below their season average of 0.212) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.4 (above their season average of 20.5). For those same stats, Indiana was 0.032 and 17.6, respectively. Golden State, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 6.7 (better than their season average of 12.6). Golden State was lifted by Alec Burks, who recorded 33 points, eight assists and seven rebounds. Rudy Gobert, meanwhile played a key role for Utah with 20 points and 14 rebounds.

In their three contests this year, the Jazz have won all three. The two teams combined to put up 220 points in their most recent game, which was over the projected point total of 211.5. Utah won 114-106 but was unable to cover as a 14-point favorite. One of Utah’s biggest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They made 31 trips to the line, while Golden State went 22 times. Gobert put up a double-double in the victory with 15 points and 15 rebounds.

Just over half of the Jazz’s games have finished over the O/U total. Utah heads into the contest with records of 30-13 straight up (SU) and 22-19-2 against the spread (ATS).

Warriors games have typically gone under the O/U total (57.8 percent). Additionally, Golden State owns records of 10-35 SU and 21-23-1 ATS.

The Jazz’s Gobert has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 21 points,14.8 rebounds,3.0 blocks per game. Meanwhile, D’Angelo Russell has averaged 25 points,7.8 assists during that same time frame for the Warriors.

The offense of Golden State will battle against the top-notch defense of Utah. The Warriors rank 29th in offensive efficiency, while the Jazz are eighth in defensive efficiency. The Jazz figure to have the edge on that end of the court. It could also be a sloppy game for the offense of the Jazz, which ranks 24th in ball security (turnover percentage of 14.4 percent). They’ll be going up against the stingy defense of the Warriors, which forces the third-most turnovers in the NBA (14.6 percent).

Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors ATS Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Warriors rank 13th in fast break points per game (13.3) while the Jazz rank 27th (10.3).
  • Golden State ranks fifth in steals per game (8.5) while Utah ranks 29th (6.0).
  • The Jazz rank first in assists allowed per game (20.9) while the Warriors rank 24th (25.2).
  • Golden State ranks ninth in points off turnovers per game (17.5) while Utah ranks 28th (14.8).
  • Utah ranks 16th in points in the paint per game (48.0) while Golden State ranks last (42.9).
  • The Jazz rank third in three pointers allowed per game (30.7) while the Warriors rank 26th (35.2).
  • The Jazz rank fifth in second chance points allowed per game (12.1) while the Warriors rank 23rd (13.9).
  • Golden State ranks 20th in blocks per game (4.5) while Utah ranks 26th (4.1).
  • Utah ranks fourth in rebounds allowed per game (43.1) while Golden State ranks 27th (47.3).
  • When holding opponents below 100 points, Golden State is 5-2 and Utah is 11-1.
  • When scoring above 100 points, the Jazz are 29-8 and the Warriors are 10-22.
  • Utah is 11-11-1 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 10-11-1 ATS at home.
  • Of the Jazz’s 23 road games, they have 12 unders and 11 overs.
  • In 22 home games, the Warriors have 14 unders and 8 overs.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Jazz are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-2-1.
  • In their last five games, Utah has 4 overs and 1 under, while Golden State has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 123.6 points per game (12.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.0 points per game (4.0 above their season average).
  • The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.2, up from 7.9 for the season.