Utah Jazz at Detroit Pistons ATS Prediction 01/05/19

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The Detroit Pistons (17-19) will be 1-point underdogs at home in Little Caesars Arena when they clash with the Utah Jazz (19-20). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 208 points and action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 5, 2019.

Utah Jazz at Detroit Pistons ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Pistons (6.5-point underdogs) defeated the Memphis Grizzlies 101-94, while the Jazz (1-point underdog) beat the Cleveland Cavaliers 117-91. The Detroit game finished 3 points under the projected point total of 198, while the Utah game finished 1 point under the projected point total of 209.

Utah played a flawless game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.0 (below their season average of 22.1) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.598 (above their season average of 0.528). For those same stats, Cleveland recorded marks of 15.2 and 0.457, respectively. The Pistons, on the other hand, had a phenomenally low turnover percentage of 7.0 (better than their season average of 12.6) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.530 (above their season average of 0.492). Detroit’s Blake Griffin led the way, recording 26 points, eight rebounds and seven assists. Utah, meanwhile, rallied around Rudy Gobert, who finished with 12 points, seven rebounds and five blocks.

The Jazz dominated this series last year, securing victories in both games. In the most recent game, Utah won 110-79. Utah had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (31.4 vs. 16.3). Detroit, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (16.1 vs. 20.3). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Games including the Jazz have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Utah comes into the game with records of 19-20 straight up (SU) and 18-19-1 against the spread (ATS).

A little over half of Pistons games have finished under the O/U total. Additionally, Detroit owns records of 17-19 SU and 17-18-1 ATS.

The ineffective offense of Detroit (27th in the league with an offensive efficiency of 103.6) will battle against the elite defense of Utah (fifth in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 104.0). The Jazz figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball. Also, the Jazz rank fifth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.215), while the Pistons rank 27th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.230).

Utah Jazz at Detroit Pistons Odds Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Pistons rank 1 in second chance points allowed per game (10.86111111111111) while the Jazz rank 3 (11.179487179487179).
  • Utah ranks fifth in steals per game (8.8) while Detroit ranks 24th (6.8).
  • The Jazz rank 16th in blocks per game (5.3) while the Pistons rank 28th (4.0).
  • Utah ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (42.4) while Detroit ranks 14th (44.3).
  • Detroit ranks 24 in fast break points per game (10.166666666666666) while Utah ranks 27 (9.897435897435898).
  • The Jazz rank ninth in points allowed in the paint per game (46.7) while the Pistons rank 25th (51.5).
  • The Jazz average 17.307692307692307 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 11 in the NBA. The Pistons rank 16 in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.944444444444443).
  • Utah is 2 in the league with 27.28205128205128 three pointers allowed per game while Detroit is 3 with 28.38888888888889 three pointers allowed per game.
  • Utah ranks 11th in assists per game (24.9) while Detroit ranks 25th (22.2).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Detroit is 4-2 and Utah is 10-3.
  • The Pistons are 17-11 when they score over 100 points, while the Jazz are 17-10.
  • Detroit is 8-10-1 ATS at home, while Utah is 9-12-1 ATS on the road.
  • The Jazz have 12 unders and 10 overs in 22 road games.
  • The Pistons have 11 unders and 8 overs in 19 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Utah and Detroit are both 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 115.2 points per game (7.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.0 points per game (1.7 below their season average).
  • The Pistons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.8, up from 2.2 for the season.