The UNC Asheville Bulldogs (10-12, 4-7 BigSou), 1-point underdogs, will be at the Hampton Convocation Center to go head-to-head with the Hampton Pirates (10-13, 5-5 BigSou) in a BigSou matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 164 points and action begins at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, February 10, 2020.
UNC Asheville Bulldogs at Hampton Pirates ATS Odds
The Bulldogs come in on a high note after easily covering the 4.5-point spread against the USC Upstate Spartans in their last contest, 84-71. The Pirates, meanwhile, were beaten by the Charleston Southern Buccaneers, 85-72, and were not able to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The UNC Asheville game went 8.5 points over the projected point total of 146.5, while the Hampton game finished 3 points over the projected point total of 154.
UNC Asheville dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a turnover percentage of 12.5 (better than their season average of 14.8) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.3 (above their season average of 26.2). USC Upstate was 16.5 and 22.9, respectively, for those same stats. Hampton, on the other hand, held Charleston Southern to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.7 (below their season average of 23.8). Hampton was led by Davion Warren, who had 18 points and nine rebounds. Meanwhile, DeVon Baker had a good game for UNC Asheville, recording 30 points.
In their first matchup this season, Ben Stanley led the Pirates to an 88-86 win. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 33 points. Hampton covered as a 6-point underdog and the two teams combined for 174 points, which was over the projected point total of 159.5. The Pirates’ 11.1 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Bulldogs, who had a rate of 15.7.
Bulldogs games tend to finish over the projected point total (55.0 percent). UNC Asheville holds records of 10-12 straight up (SU) and 9-11 against the spread (ATS).
Much like UNC Asheville, Pirates games also have typically finished over the total (75.0 percent). Moreover, Hampton owns records of 10-13 SU and 8-11-1 ATS.
The physical Hampton offense could be getting to the free throw line a lot in this contest. The Pirates currently rank 18th in the nation with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.288, while UNC Asheville ranks 294th in FTA rate allowed (0.270). The Bulldogs should have an edge in terms of ball security. They rank 35th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.6 percent). Conversely, the Pirates force the 32nd-fewest turnovers in the country (opponents’ turnover percentage of 16.9 percent).
UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. Hampton Pirates Free Pick
College Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Hampton, ATS Winner – Hampton, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Hampton ranks 50th in assists per game (14.8) while UNC Asheville ranks 241st (11.0).
- The Bulldogs rank 21st in steals per game (8.6) while the Pirates rank 198th (5.5).
- Hampton ranks 42nd in blocks per game (4.4) while UNC Asheville ranks 195th (2.3).
- The Bulldogs rank 79th in three pointers attempted per game (24.1) while the Pirates rank 265th (17.7).
- Hampton ranks 106th in rebounds per game (36.7) while UNC Asheville ranks 285th (31.3).
- Hampton is 5-3-1 ATS at home, while UNC Asheville is 6-5 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 7 of the Pirates’ 9 home games, while 6 of the Bulldogs’ 11 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Pirates are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Bulldogs are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Hampton has 5 overs, while UNC Asheville has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Pirates have scored an average of 81.2 points per game (5.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 82.2 points per game (4.9 above their season average).
- The Bulldogs have been outscored by an average of 7.6 points in their last five games. For the season, UNC Asheville has defeated opponents by an average of 1.2 points.
