UCF Knights vs. SMU Mustangs ATS Prediction 01/08/20

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The UCF Knights (9-5, 0-2 AAC) will be at Moody Coliseum to go head-to-head with the SMU Mustangs (11-2, 1-0 AAC) in an AAC matchup. Action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 8, 2020.

UCF Knights at SMU Mustangs Betting Odds

In their last outing, the Mustangs beat the Vanderbilt Commodores, 92-81, while the Knights fell to the Houston Cougars, 78-63.

SMU played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.230 (below their season average of 0.254) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.5 (below their season average of 36.0). For those same stats, Vanderbilt was 0.154 and 24.4, respectively. UCF, meanwhile, forced Houston into a turnover percentage of 17.3 (above their season average of 14.2). SMU’s Kendric Davis had a good game, contributing 24 points and six assists. UCF, meanwhile, received a boost from Collin Smith, who recorded 11 points and 11 rebounds.

The Knights dominated this series last year, emerging victorious in both games. In the most recent game, UCF won 95-48. Getting to the free throw line was one of UCF’s largest strengths. They had 25 free throw attempts, while SMU had just 11. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

SMU should have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Mustangs currently rank 13th in offensive efficiency, while UCF ranks 115th in defensive efficiency.

UCF at SMU Betting Pick

Basketball Tip: SU Winner – Smu, ATS Winner – SMU, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • SMU averages 16.8 assists per game, which ranks 20th in the NCAA. UCF ranks 189th in assists allowed per game (14.4).
  • The Knights rank 84th in blocks per game (3.6) while the Mustangs rank 105th in blocks allowed per game (3.5).
  • SMU ranks 121st in steals per game (6.5) while UCF ranks 130th in steals allowed per game (6.8).
  • The Mustangs rank 29th in rebounds per game (40.7) while the Knights rank 190th in rebounds allowed per game (36.6).
  • UCF ranks 113th in three pointers allowed per game (21.2) while SMU ranks 254th (27.2).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Knights have been outscored by an average of 0.8 points in their last five games. For the season, UCF has defeated opponents by an average of 3.8 points.
  • During their last five games, the Mustangs have scored an average of 83.6 points per game (5.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 79.8 points per game (12.4 above their season average).