UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal Poly Mustangs ATS Prediction 03/09/19

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The Cal Poly Mustangs (6-22, 2-13 BigWst) welcome the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (20-9, 9-6 BigWst) to Robert A. Mott Gym as the regular season finishes up. The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 9, 2019.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Odds

In their last outing, the Mustangs were blown out by the UC Irvine Anteaters, 110-72, while the Gauchos won a close one over the CSUN Matadors, 76-74.

The Gauchos held the Matadors to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.8 (below their season average of 29.2) and had a turnover percentage of 12.0 (better than their season average of 14.5). Cal Poly, meanwhile, had a free throw rate of 0.283 (above their season average of 0.161). Cal Poly’s Donovan Fields had a solid performance, contributing 19 points and five assists. Max Heidegger played a pivotal role for UC Santa Barbara with 23 points and eight rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, Devearl Ramsey led the Gauchos to a 65-56 victory. He scored a game-high 19 points. UC Santa Barbara’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over Cal Poly. The Gauchos had a rate of 0.167, while the Mustangs posted a mark of 0.049.

The Gauchos’ Amadou Sow has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 15 points,6.6 rebounds,1.4 steals per game. Meanwhile, Fields has averaged 20 points during that same time frame for the Mustangs.

Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the country’s slowest-paced teams square off. Cal Poly ranks 268th in possessions per game (67.3) and UC Santa Barbara is 330th (65.4). Furthermore, the Gauchos’ 42nd-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 112.3) will battle against the Mustangs’ 334th-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 111.3).

UC Santa Barbara vs. Cal Poly Pick

Pick: SU Winner – UC Santa Barbara, ATS Winner – UC Santa Barbara, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • UC Santa Barbara ranks 16th in rebounds allowed per game (31.0) while Cal Poly ranks 255th (38.0).
  • The Gauchos rank 44th in blocks allowed per game (2.7) while the Mustangs rank 126th (3.6).
  • UC Santa Barbara allows the second-fewest steals per game (4.1) while Cal Poly ranks 38th (5.4).
  • The Mustangs rank 104th in three pointers attempted per game (23.7) while the Gauchos rank 258th (19.0).
  • UC Santa Barbara ranks 109th in assists per game (14.0) while Cal Poly ranks 259th (10.4).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Gauchos’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.4, down from 7.9 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Mustangs have scored an average of 73.4 points per game (9.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 88.8 points per game (16.7 above their season average).