The UC Davis Aggies (5-8) will travel to War Memorial Gymnasium to square off against the San Francisco Dons (9-3). Action gets underway at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 21, 2019.
UC Davis Aggies at San Francisco Dons ATS Odds
In their last game, the Dons lost to the Stanford Cardinal, 64-56, while the Aggies won a close one over the Loyola Marymount Lions, 67-65.
UC Davis dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.271 (above their season average of 0.228) and a turnover percentage of 20.1 (worse than their season average of 17.9). Loyola Marymount was 0.190 and 28.3, respectively, for those same stats. San Francisco, meanwhile, held Stanford to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.9 (below their season average of 25.5). San Francisco received a boost from Charles Minlend, who recorded 18 points and seven rebounds. Joe Mooney, meanwhile was a key piece for UC Davis with 11 points and five rebounds.
The Dons won the lone contest between these two teams last year, 76-42. San Francisco’s rebounding was their biggest advantage. The Dons had more offensive rebounds (11 vs. 5), defensive rebounds (32 vs. 23) and total rebounds (43 vs. 28). This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.
San Francisco could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their high-powered offense faces off against one of the nation’s worst defenses. The Dons rank 19th in offensive efficiency, while UC Davis ranks 269th in defensive efficiency. Furthermore, second chance points could be few and far between for the Aggies. They rank 324th in the NCAA in offensive rebounding percentage at 22.2 percent, while the Dons are fourth-best on the defensive glass (defensive rebounding percentage of 79.8 percent).
UC Davis Aggies vs. San Francisco Dons Odds Pick
Basketball Tip: SU Winner – San Francisco, ATS Winner – UC Davis, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- San Francisco ranks 54th in rebounds per game (39.1) while UC Davis ranks 253rd (30.1).
- The Dons rank 35th in steals allowed per game (5.4) while the Aggies rank 69th (5.9).
- The Dons rank seventh in three pointers attempted per game (29.5) while the Aggies rank 205th (19.2).
- San Francisco ranks 12th in assists allowed per game (8.9) while UC Davis ranks 188th (14.8).
Bettings Trends:
- During their last five games, the Aggies have scored an average of 69.0 points per game (matching their season average) and allowed an average of 64.6 points per game (5.1 below their season average).
- The Dons’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.4, down from 12.4 for the season.
