UC Davis Aggies at Cal Poly Mustangs ATS Prediction 02/20/20

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The UC Davis Aggies (12-15, 6-5 BigWst) will be at Robert A. Mott Gym to square off with the Cal Poly Mustangs (7-18, 4-7 BigWst) in a BigWst matchup. Action begins at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 20, 2020.

UC Davis Aggies at Cal Poly Mustangs ATS Odds

In their last game, the Mustangs were beaten by the Cal State Fullerton Titans, 105-101, while the Aggies beat the CSUN Matadors, 110-98.

UC Davis played a nearly flawless game. They had a great offensive rebounding percentage of 32.0 (above their season average of 23.8) and a free throw rate of 0.424 (above their season average of 0.242). For those same stats, CSUN recorded marks of 17.9 and 0.393, respectively. Cal Poly, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 12.5 (better than their season average of 17.8). Nolan Taylor put together a solid game for Cal Poly with 35 points and nine rebounds. Meanwhile, UC Davis was led by Joe Mooney, who had 29 points.

In their first matchup this year, Mooney led the Aggies to a 66-51 victory. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 19 points. Making free throws was one of UC Davis’ largest strengths. They were 18-21 (85.7 percent), while the Mustangs were just 12-20 (60.0 percent).

It will be a matchup of contrasting paces as the up-and-down Mustangs (ranked 96th in the NCAA in possessions per game) will look to push the more methodical Aggies (207th in possessions per game). Moreover, the Aggies’ 40th-ranked offense (effective field goal percentage of 0.536) will square off against the Mustangs’ 280th-ranked defense (effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.514).

UC Davis Aggies vs. Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Pick

Basketball Tip: SU Winner – UC Davis, ATS Winner – UC Davis, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • UC Davis ranks 87th in rebounds allowed per game (33.4) while Cal Poly ranks 242nd (37.5).
  • The Aggies rank 203rd in three pointers attempted per game (20.6) while the Mustangs rank 244th (18.9).
  • The Aggies rank 159th in assists per game (12.8) while the Mustangs rank 260th (10.0).
  • UC Davis ranks 42nd in blocks allowed per game (2.7) while Cal Poly ranks 85th (3.1).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Aggies’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.2, up from 1.8 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Mustangs have scored an average of 79.2 points per game (11.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 80.4 points per game (5.2 above their season average).