The Memphis Tigers (19-12, 11-7 AAC) will be 16.5-point favorites in the American Athletic Conference Tournament at FedExForum when they challenge the Tulane Green Wave (4-26, 0-18 AAC). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 154 points and it will air on ESPNU at 3 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 14, 2019.
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers ATS Odds
In the Green Wave’s last game, they were defeated by the Wichita State Shockers, 82-79, but they did cover as 11-point underdogs. The Green Wave, on the other hand, topped the Tulsa Golden Hurricane in their last contest,66-63, but failed to cover as 8.5-point favorites. The Tulane game went 16 points over the projected point total of 145, while the Memphis game went 29 points under the projected point total of 158.
The Tigers had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 34.9 (above their season average of 33.5) and held the Golden Hurricane to an effective field goal percentage of 0.395 (below their season average of 0.520). Tulane, meanwhile, had an effective field goal percentage of 0.561 (above their season average of 0.470). Memphis was led by Jeremiah Martin, who recorded 20 points, six rebounds and six assists. Caleb Daniels fueled Tulane with 36 points and seven rebounds.
A little over half of the Green Wave’s games have finished under the O/U total. Tulane comes into the contest with records of 4-26 straight up (SU) and 13-16-1 against the spread (ATS).
In opposition of Tulane, a little over half of Tigers games have finished over the total. Additionally, Memphis is 19-12 SU and 16-15 ATS.
The Green Wave’s Caleb Daniels has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 20 points,6.6 rebounds,4.6 assists per game. Meanwhile, Jeremiah Martin has averaged 33 points,5.2 assists,1.8 steals during that same time frame for the Tigers.
The offensive glass could be a huge advantage for Memphis in this matchup. The Tigers are among the nation’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 39th in offensive rebounding percentage at 33.6 percent. Meanwhile, Tulane ranks 293rd in the nation at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 68.8 percent. Ball security could be troublesome for the Green Wave. They rank 320th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 21.5 percent), while the Tigers force the 44th-most turnovers in the country (opponents’ turnover percentage of 21.6 percent).
Tulane Green Wave at Memphis Tigers ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Memphis, ATS Winner – Tulane, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Memphis ranks 25th in steals per game (8.0) while Tulane ranks 239th (4.7).
- The Green Wave average 3.6 blocks per game, which ranks 92nd in the NCAA. The Tigers rank 196th in blocks allowed per game (4.5).
- Memphis averages 22.5 three pointers per game, which ranks 153rd in the country. Tulane ranks 240th in three pointers allowed per game (24.3).
- The Tigers average 37.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 56th in the nation. The Green Wave rank 265th in rebounds allowed per game (38.5).
- Memphis ranks 34th in assists per game (15.6) while Tulane ranks 209th in assists allowed per game (14.1).
- Memphis is 10-7 ATS at home, while Tulane is 5-10 ATS on the road.
- In 15 road games, the Green Wave have 8 unders, 6 overs and 1 push.
- The Tigers have 9 unders and 8 overs in 17 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Tulane and Memphis are both 4-1 ATS.
- The Green Wave have 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games, while the Tigers have 3 unders and 2 overs
- The Green Wave’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.2, down from 10.2 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Tigers have scored an average of 81.2 points per game (0.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 73.6 points per game (2.4 below their season average).
