Troy Trojans vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: NCAA Football Betting Free Pick

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The Chanticleers of Coastal Carolina are set to welcome their conference counterpart Troy Trojans to Brooks Stadium. ESPN 3 is scheduled to televise the action and kickoff is set for 3:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Troy Trojans

Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 61.5 points, and based on how things are shaping up, there should be some good live betting opportunities in this contest.

The Trojans are down 3.5 units so far and 2-5 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 4-3.

The Chanticleers are down 1.6 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-3 ATS and also have an O/U record of 4-3.

The Trojans have gone 3-4 straight up (SU), including 1-2 SU against SBC opponents. The Chanticleers are 3-4 SU overall and 0-3 SU in conference play.

The Trojans lost to Georgia State 52-33 in a thumping where the passing attack was sharp, as Kaleb Barker completed 34-of-45 passes for 421 yards and two touchdowns. Khalil McClain (eight receptions, 128 yards, one TD) and Kaylon Geiger (seven catches, 47 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Coastal Carolina narrowly lost a 30-27 game to Georgia Southern back in Week 8. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Eagles to rush for 307 yards on 66 attempts, including two rush TDs. Wesley Kennedy III put up a good showing for Georgia Southern, accounting for 129 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 25 attempts. For Coastal Carolina, Bryce Carpenter completed 11-of-14 passes for 96 yards and one touchdown. Carpenter (61 rushing yards on 23 attempts, one TD) and Jacqez Hairston (41 yards on 15 carries) handled the running game while CJ Marable (four receptions, 24 yards) and Ky’Jon Tyler (three catches, 19 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Troy has run the ball on 46.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Coastal Carolina has a rush percentage of 60.7 percent. The Trojans have rushed for 147.9 yards/game (including 145 per game versus Sun Belt opponents) and have 11 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Chanticleers are putting up 195.9 rushing yards per game (130 in conference) and have 16 total rush TDs.

The Trojans offensive scheme has tallied 309.7 yards/game through the air overall (339 per game versus conference opposition) and has 18 passing TDs so far. The Chanticleers have recorded 199.7 pass yards per contest (184 against SBC foes) and have 13 total pass scores.

Defensively, Troy has allowed opponents to run for an average of 135.7 yards and pass for 273.6 yards per game. The Coastal Carolina defense has allowed 145.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 181.1 yards per game to opposing runners. The Chanticleers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.18 to opponents, while the Trojans have allowed a 7.90 ANY/A.

Offensively, Barker has already amassed 1,897 passing yards on the year, and has completed 66 percent of his 238 attempts with 16 scores through the air and only four interceptions. He’s got a 7.75 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.24 over the last two outings.

Bryce Carpenter has connected on 23-of-34 passes for 240 yards, four TDs and zero INTs for Coastal Carolina. His ANY/A stands at 7.82 for the year and 8.55 across his last two games.

These two teams met a year ago with the final outcome being a 45-21 win for Troy.

Troy Trojans vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers NCAA Prediction

SU Winner: Troy, ATS Winner: Troy, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • The Trojans offense has created six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Chanticleers have accounted for one such play.
  • The Troy defense has allowed 12 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Coastal Carolina has given up two such plays.
  • The Troy offense has created six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Coastal Carolina has created 10 such runs.
  • The Trojans defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Chanticleers have given up eight such runs.
  • The Troy defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 16 times this season. Coastal Carolina has produced 11 sacks.
  • As a team, Troy has averaged 3.6 yards per rush attempt over its past three games and 4.3 over its last two.
  • Coastal Carolina has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.2 over its past two.
  • Over its last three contests, Coastal Carolina is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Troy’s previous game was set at 67.5. The over cashed in the team’s 52-33 loss to Georgia State.
  • Over its last three matchups, Troy is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Coastal Carolina’s last outing was set at 43. The over cashed in the 30-27 defeat to Georgia Southern.