Troy Trojans vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves ATS Prediction 01/11/20

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, College Basketball

The Troy Trojans (7-10, 3-3 SBC) will be at First National Bank Arena to go head-to-head with the Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-6, 3-3 SBC) in a SBC matchup. Action gets underway at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 11, 2020.

Troy Trojans vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Odds

In their last contest, the Red Wolves fell to the South Alabama Jaguars, 75-59, while the Trojans beat the Little Rock Trojans, 76-71.

Troy had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.551 vs. 0.419) and had a better turnover percentage (16.3 vs. 17.2). Arkansas State, on the other hand, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.533 vs. 0.521). Arkansas State was lifted by Marquis Eaton, who put up 20 points. Meanwhile, Darian Adams led the way for Troy, putting up 18 points and 11 rebounds.

The Trojans dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent contest, Troy won 84-79. Troy was lights out from beyond the arc (12-26; 46.2 percent). Arkansas State, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (38.6 vs. 15.4). This is the first time these teams will clash this year.

The aggressive Arkansas State offense could be getting to the free throw line a lot in this meeting. The Red Wolves rank second in the country with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.327, while Troy ranks 278th in FTA rate allowed (0.256).

Troy Trojans vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Arkansas State, ATS Winner – Arkansas State, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Troy ranks 62nd in three pointers attempted per game (25.2) while Arkansas State ranks 273rd (14.8).
  • The Red Wolves rank first in blocks allowed per game (1.8) while the Trojans rank 88th (3.3).
  • Arkansas State averages 7.2 steals per game, which ranks 90th in the NCAA. Troy ranks 108th in steals allowed per game (6.6).
  • The Red Wolves rank 67th in rebounds allowed per game (32.9) while the Trojans rank 236th (39.4).
  • Troy ranks 69th in assists per game (14.7) while Arkansas State ranks 187th in assists allowed per game (14.4).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Trojans have scored an average of 67.4 points per game (3.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 72.4 points per game (2.3 above their season average).
  • The Red Wolves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.2, up from 0.7 for the season.