Toronto Raptors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Prediction 01/15/20

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The Toronto Raptors (25-14) will travel to Chesapeake Energy Arena to meet the Oklahoma City Thunder (23-17). The Thunder opened as 2-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 213.5 points and it can be seen on The Sports Network at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 15, 2020.

Toronto Raptors at Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Odds

In the Thunder’s last outing, they defeated the Minnesota Timberwolves, 117-104, easily covering as 2-point favorites. The Raptors, meanwhile, were defeated by the San Antonio Spurs, 105-104, and were unable to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The Oklahoma City game went 3 points over the projected point total of 218, while the Toronto game went 11 points under the projected point total of 220.

Oklahoma City dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.280 (above their season average of 0.226) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.573 (above their season average of 0.524). Minnesota had marks of 0.176 and 0.484, respectively, for those same stats. Toronto, on the other hand, held San Antonio to an effective field goal percentage of 0.477 (below their season average of 0.531). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander played well for Oklahoma City, accumulating 20 points, 20 rebounds and 10 assists on his way to his zeroth triple-double of the year. Toronto rallied around Serge Ibaka, who recorded 21 points and 14 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Chris Paul led the Thunder to a 98-97 victory. He recorded a double-double with 25 points and 11 rebounds. The two teams combined for 195 points, which was under the projected point total of 209, and Oklahoma City covered as a 5-point underdog. Oklahoma City’s free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Toronto. The Thunder had a rate of 0.256, while the Raptors posted a mark of 0.145.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Raptors games, with 20 unders compared to 19 overs. Toronto heads into the game with records of 25-14 straight up (SU) and 20-18-1 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has a tendency to place the total high when the Thunder are involved, as 57.5 percent of their games have finished under the O/U total. Moreover, Oklahoma City owns records of 23-17 SU and 26-13-1 ATS.

The Raptors’ Ibaka has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 20 points,10.8 rebounds,1.2 blocks per game. Meanwhile, Steven Adams has averaged 14 points,13.0 rebounds,1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Thunder.

The offense of Oklahoma City (14th in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 108.4) will clash against the stingy defense of Toronto (second in the league with a defensive efficiency of 102.1). The Raptors should have the advantage on that end of the court.

Toronto Raptors at Oklahoma City Thunder Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Thunder rank 11th in rebounds allowed per game (44.9) while the Raptors rank 26th (47.3).
  • Toronto ranks third in fast break points per game (17.6) while Oklahoma City ranks last (9.3).
  • The Raptors rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (42.2) while the Thunder rank 22nd (49.5).
  • Toronto ranks second in points off turnovers per game (19.3) while Oklahoma City ranks 22nd (16.1).
  • Oklahoma City ranks eighth in second chance points allowed per game (12.1) while Toronto ranks 25th (14.0).
  • The Thunder rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (31.6) while the Raptors rank 29th (38.1).
  • The Thunder rank fourth in assists allowed per game (22.5) while the Raptors rank 23rd (25.0).
  • Toronto ranks second in steals allowed per game (6.7) while Oklahoma City ranks fifth (6.8).
  • Oklahoma City ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while Toronto ranks 25th (5.6).
  • When allowing under 100 points, Toronto is 11-3 and Oklahoma City is 7-3.
  • The Thunder are 22-10 when they score over 100 points, while the Raptors are 23-9.
  • Oklahoma City is 11-8-1 ATS at home, while Toronto is 9-8-1 ATS on the road.
  • The Raptors have 11 unders and 7 overs in 18 road games.
  • The Thunder have 11 unders and 9 overs in 20 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Thunder are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Raptors are 1-3-1.
  • In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Toronto has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 112.8 points per game (3.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.8 points per game (1.5 above their season average).
  • The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.0, down from 5.1 for the season.