The Toronto Raptors (52-23), 12-point favorites, will be at Madison Square Garden to square off with the New York Knicks (14-60) in an Atlantic Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 217 points and it can be seen on MSG Network at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 28, 2019.
Toronto Raptors vs. New York Knicks ATS Odds
Neither team was able to cover in their last game. The Raptors (14.5-point favorites) beat the Chicago Bulls, 112-103, while the Knicks (8-point underdogs) were defeated by the Los Angeles Clippers, 124-113. The Toronto game finished 4 points under the projected point total of 219, while the New York game went 13.5 points over the projected point total of 223.5.
The Raptors forced 18 turnovers and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.558 (above their season average of 0.540). New York, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.2 (above their season average of 22.5). New York’s DeAndre Jordan had a good outing, putting up 20 points and 13 rebounds. Meanwhile, Toronto rallied around Kawhi Leonard, who finished with 14 points, six steals and five assists.
In their three matchups this year, the Raptors have won all three. In their most recent game, the two teams combined for 220 points, which was over the projected point total of 213.5. Toronto won 128-92, covering as a 12-point favorite. Toronto’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over New York. The Raptors had a rate of 0.653 while the Knicks posted a mark of 0.376. Allonzo Trier was the game’s top overall scorer with 22 points.
Vegas is known to set the total low when the Raptors are playing, as 42 of their 75 contests have ended over the total. Toronto is 52-23 straight up (SU), but they have difficulty covering the spread (32-41-2 against the spread (ATS)).
Unlike Toronto, a little over half of Knicks games have finished under the O/U total. Moreover, New York is 14-60 SU and 30-42-2 ATS.
New York might struggle to score as they face off against one of the league’s best defenses. Toronto currently ranks fifth in defensive efficiency, while the Knicks rank 30th in offensive efficiency.
Toronto Raptors at New York Knicks Betting Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Raptors rank 20th in second chance points per game (12.8) while the Knicks rank 24th in second chance points allowed per game (14.0).
- Toronto ranks sixth in blocks allowed per game (4.5) while New York ranks 27th (5.8).
- The Raptors rank eighth in points off turnovers per game (17.6) while the Knicks rank 25th (15.0).
- Toronto ranks 14th in assists per game (25.1) while New York ranks last (20.0).
- Toronto ranks 11th in three pointers attempted per game (33.4) while New York ranks 17th in three pointers allowed per game (32.4).
- The Raptors rank fourth in fast break points per game (18.7) while the Knicks rank 23rd (11.3).
- The Raptors rank 14th in points in the paint per game (49.0) while the Knicks rank 25th (44.4).
- Toronto ranks 11th in rebounds allowed per game (44.5) while New York ranks 29th (47.3).
- When holding opponents below 100 points, New York is 3-1 and Toronto is 13-1.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Knicks are 14-36 and the Raptors are 49-17.
- Toronto is 16-19-1 ATS on the road, while New York is 12-22-2 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 22 of the Raptors’ 36 road games, while 21 of the Knicks’ 36 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Raptors are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Knicks are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Toronto has 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push, while New York has 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.2, up from 5.4 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 107.6 points per game (2.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 124.6 points per game (10.2 above their season average).
