The Toronto Raptors (57-24), 6.5-point favorites, will bring the regular season to a close on the road when they square off with the Minnesota Timberwolves (36-44) at Target Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 229.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports North Plus at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 9, 2019.
Toronto Raptors at Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Odds
In their last outing, the Raptors (5.5-point favorites) covered in a 117-109 victory over the Miami Heat. The Timberwolves fell to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 132-126, but did cover as 6.5-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Toronto game went 11.5 points over the projected point total of 214.5, while the Minnesota game went 28.5 points over the projected point total of 229.5.
The Raptors knocked down 23 of their 27 free throws (85.2 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.540 vs. 0.475). Minnesota, on the other hand, did a great job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (24-29; 82.8 percent). Karl-Anthony Towns played well for Minnesota with 35 points and seven rebounds. Pascal Siakam played well for Toronto, putting up 23 points and 10 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Kawhi Leonard led the Raptors to a 112-105 victory. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 35 points. Toronto was unable to cover as a 9-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 217 points, which was under the projected point total of 226. Toronto had a better effective field goal percentage (0.579 vs. 0.495). Minnesota, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (32.7 vs. 28.2).
Of the Raptors’ 81 games, 45 have finished over the O/U total. Toronto comes into the game with records of 57-24 straight up (SU) and 37-42-2 against the spread (ATS).
Timberwolves games also tend to go over the O/U total (55.0 percent). Additionally, Minnesota is 36-44 SU and 39-41 ATS.
The offensive glass should be a huge advantage for Minnesota in this showdown. The Timberwolves rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (25.0 percent), while Toronto ranks 18th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.9 percent). Additionally, the Raptors rank fifth in offensive efficiency (111.6), while the Timberwolves rank 23rd in defensive efficiency (110.8).
Raptors at Timberwolves ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Toronto ranks sixth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while Minnesota ranks 25th (5.6).
- The Timberwolves rank first in steals allowed per game (6.5) while the Raptors rank 16th (7.6).
- Toronto ranks 11th in three pointers attempted per game (33.8) while Minnesota ranks 26th (28.5).
- Minnesota ranks seventh in points off turnovers per game (17.5) while Toronto ranks 10th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.8).
- The Raptors rank 11th in second chance points allowed per game (13.0) while the Timberwolves rank 29th (14.8).
- The Raptors average 25.4 assists per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. The Timberwolves rank 27th in assists allowed per game (26.2).
- Toronto ranks fourth in fast break points per game (18.4) while Minnesota ranks 20th (11.7).
- When holding opponents below 100 points, Toronto is 14-1 and Minnesota is 12-0.
- When reaching the century mark, the Raptors are 54-18 and the Timberwolves are 35-38.
- Minnesota is 22-18 ATS at home, while Toronto is 19-20-1 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 23 of the Raptors’ 40 road games, while 24 of the Timberwolves’ 40 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Raptors are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Timberwolves are 3-2.
- In their last five games, Toronto has 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push, while Minnesota has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 117.6 points per game (3.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.4 points per game (1.1 below their season average).
- The Timberwolves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.2, up from 1.2 for the season.
