Toronto Raptors vs. Memphis Grizzlies Free Prediction

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The Toronto Raptors (17-4), 4.5-point favorites, will have their hands full against the NBA’s top scoring defense when they square off with the Memphis Grizzlies (12-7) at FedExForum. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 205 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 27, 2018.

Toronto Raptors at Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last outing. The Raptors (12-point favorites) beat the Miami Heat, 125-115, while the Grizzlies (8-point favorites) fell to the New York Knicks, 103-98. The Toronto game finished 25 points over the projected point total of 215, while the Memphis game went 3.5 points under the projected point total of 204.5.

Toronto’s 0.583 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Miami, who had a mark of 0.489. The Raptors’ mark was above their season average of 0.550. Memphis, on the other hand, held New York to an effective field goal percentage of 0.418 (below their season average of 0.498). Memphis was led by Marc Gasol, who put up 27 points, eight rebounds and five blocks. Meanwhile, Kawhi Leonard led the way for Toronto, finishing with 29 points and 10 rebounds.

The Raptors dominated this series last year, taking both games. In the most recent game, Toronto won 101-86. The Raptors’ 10.3 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Grizzlies, who had a mark of 17.3. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Raptors games have typically gone over the projected point total (66.7 percent). Toronto heads into the contest with records of 17-4 straight up (SU) and 11-10 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Toronto, games including the Grizzlies tend to finish under the projected point total (57.9 percent). Moreover, Memphis owns records of 12-7 SU and 12-7 ATS.

Gasol and Mike Conley have been playing well over the last five games for Memphis. Gasol has averaged 22 points,13.0 rebounds,3.6 assists,1.6 blocks, while Conley has put up 23 points,8.2 assists a game during that span.

Memphis might struggle to find the bottom of the net as they face off against one of the league’s best defenses. Toronto ranks fifth in defensive efficiency while the Grizzlies rank 24th in offensive efficiency.

Toronto Raptors at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Grizzlies average 5.947368421052632 blocks per game, which ranks 7 in the league. The Raptors rank 12 in blocks allowed per game (4.9523809523809526).
  • Toronto ranks eighth in rebounds per game (47.2) while Memphis ranks last (39.5).
  • The Raptors rank eighth in three pointers attempted per game (33.6) while the Grizzlies rank 26th (27.7).
  • Toronto ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (53.7) while Memphis ranks 21st (45.7).
  • Memphis ranks 1 in steals allowed per game (6.421052631578948) while Toronto ranks 9 (7.333333333333333).
  • The Raptors rank 10th in second chance points per game (14.4) while the Grizzlies rank last (9.1).
  • The Grizzlies average 19.42105263157895 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 4 in the NBA. The Raptors rank 14 in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.047619047619047).
  • Memphis averages 23.63157894736842 assists per game, which ranks 15 in the league. Toronto ranks 19 in assists allowed per game (23.952380952380953).
  • Toronto ranks third in fast break points per game (18.8) while Memphis ranks 23rd (11.1).
  • Toronto is 3-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Memphis is 6-2.
  • The Raptors are 16-4 when they reach the century mark, while the Grizzlies are 9-3.
  • Memphis is 7-2 ATS at home, while Toronto is 6-4 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 5 of the Grizzlies’ 9 home games, while 5 of the Raptors’ 10 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Toronto and Memphis are both 3-2 ATS.
  • The Raptors have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Grizzlies have 3 unders and 2 overs,
  • During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 117.8 points per game (1.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 100.8 points per game (7.0 below their season average).
  • The Grizzlies’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.8, up from 2.1 for the season.