The Toronto Raptors (1-1) will travel to ORACLE Arena to meet the Golden State Warriors (1-1) in game three of the NBA Finals. The Warriors opened as 6-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 213 points and action starts at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, June 5, 2019.
Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors ATS Odds
In game two, Green led the Warriors to a 109-104 win. He recorded a double-double with 17 points and 10 rebounds. Golden State covered as a 2-point underdog and the two teams combined for 213 points, hitting the projected point total. Golden State had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.543 vs. 0.431). Toronto, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (29.4 vs. 15.0).
Of the Raptors’ 102 games, 52 have finished over the projected point total. Toronto comes into the contest with records of 71-31 straight up (SU) and 49-51-2 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas has been spot on when setting the O/U total of Warriors games, with an even split between overs and unders. Golden State is 70-30 SU, but they have trouble covering the spread (43-55-2 ATS).
For the playoffs, the Raptors are 3-6-1 ATS with five overs and five unders while the Warriors are 11-6 with 13 overs and four unders
The Raptors’ Fred VanVleet has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 13 points,3.4 assists per game. Meanwhile, Stephen Curry has averaged 36 points,7.6 rebounds,6.8 assists during that same time frame for the Warriors.
This battle pits one of the NBA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Golden State ranks first in offensive efficiency and Toronto ranks third in defensive efficiency.
Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors Odds Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Warriors rank fifth in rebounds allowed per game (43.8) while the Raptors rank 14th (45.1).
- Toronto averages 34.0 three pointers per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. Golden State ranks 27th in three pointers allowed per game (34.2).
- The Warriors rank first in assists per game (29.3) while the Raptors rank 14th (24.8).
- Toronto ranks 19th in points in the paint per game (46.9) while Golden State ranks 29th (43.3).
- Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (6.3) while Toronto ranks 10th (5.2).
- The Raptors rank sixth in fast break points per game (18.0) while the Warriors rank 21st in fast break points allowed per game (14.8).
- The Raptors rank 10th in steals per game (8.2) while the Warriors rank 19th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
- Toronto averages 17.4 points off turnovers per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Golden State ranks 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.2).
- Golden State is 13-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Toronto is 24-2.
- The Raptors are 66-23 when they reach 100 points, while the Warriors are 70-22.
- Toronto is 23-25-1 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 19-29-1 ATS at home.
- Of the Raptors’ 49 road games, they have 25 overs, 23 unders and 1 push.
- Of the Warriors’ 49 home games, they have 29 unders and 20 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- The Raptors are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-2-1.
- In their last five games, Toronto has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push, while Golden State has 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push.
- The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.8, up from 5.9 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 112.2 points per game (5.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.8 points per game (1.3 below their season average).
