Toronto Raptors vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Prediction 11/16/19

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The league’s top shooting defense will be 3-point underdogs on the road at American Airlines Center, when the Toronto Raptors (8-3) square off against the Dallas Mavericks (6-5). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 218.5 points and it will air on The Sports Network at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 16, 2019.

Toronto Raptors vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Odds

In the Raptors’ last contest, they beat the Portland Trail Blazers, 114-106, as 3.5-point underdogs. The Mavericks, on the other hand, were defeated by the New York Knicks, 106-103, and failed to cover as 7.5-point underdogs. The Toronto game finished 0.5 points over the projected point total of 219.5, while the Dallas game went 5.5 points under the projected point total of 214.5.

Toronto dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a great offensive rebounding percentage of 30.4 (above their season average of 16.1) and a free throw rate of 0.174 (matching their season average). Portland had marks of 23.4 and 0.135, respectively, for those same stats. Dallas, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (23-31; 74.2 percent). Dallas was led by Luka Doncic, who registered his fourth triple-double of the season. He dominated, registering 33 points, 11 assists and 10 rebounds. Pascal Siakam, meanwhile had a solid performance for Toronto, finishing with 36 points and six rebounds.

The Raptors dominated this series last year, securing victories in both games. In the last matchup, Toronto won 123-120. Toronto was successful at getting and making free throws. The Raptors made 32 of their 38 free throws (84.2 percent), while the Mavericks were just 23-34 (67.6 percent). This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Raptors games, with 6 overs compared to 5 unders. Toronto heads into the game with records of 8-3 straight up (SU) and 7-4 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas tends to place the total low when the Mavericks are involved, as 63.6 percent of their games have finished over the total. Additionally, Dallas is 6-5 SU and 4-7 ATS.

The game should be a showdown of strength against strength as the productive offense of Dallas takes on the elite defense of Toronto. The Mavericks rank second in offensive efficiency, while the Raptors are fifth in defensive efficiency.

Toronto Raptors at Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Raptors rank 16th in steals per game (7.5) while the Mavericks rank 25th (5.7).
  • Dallas ranks second in second chance points per game (15.2) while Toronto ranks last (8.2).
  • The Mavericks rank fifth in rebounds per game (47.5) while the Raptors rank 27th in rebounds allowed per game (50.0).
  • Dallas ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while Toronto ranks 21st (6.1).
  • Toronto ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.5) while Dallas ranks 15th (48.2).
  • The Mavericks rank third in three pointers attempted per game (39.5) while the Raptors rank 28th in three pointers allowed per game (38.5).
  • The Raptors rank ninth in points off turnovers per game (18.8) while the Mavericks rank 25th (15.5).
  • Dallas averages 23.7 assists per game, which ranks 15th in the NBA. Toronto ranks 21st in assists allowed per game (25.0).
  • Toronto ranks first in fast break points per game (21.9) while Dallas ranks 23rd (11.2).
  • Toronto is 2-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points.
  • In games where they score over 100 points, the Mavericks are 6-5 and the Raptors are 8-2.
  • Dallas is 0-5 ATS at home, while Toronto is 4-3 ATS on the road.
  • The Raptors have 4 unders and 3 overs in 7 road games.
  • The Mavericks have 3 overs and 2 unders in 5 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Toronto and Dallas have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Raptors are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Mavericks are 1-4.
  • The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.8, down from 6.0 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 111.2 points per game (3.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.2 points per game (0.5 below their season average).